Match Info

League One - Round 24

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Balmoral Stadium (Aberdeen)


	Cove Rangers		Queen of the South

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.4
	2.5	3.2	2.4
	2.68	3.3	2.42
	2.63	3.43	2.54
	2.61	3.64	2.43	Watch
	2.63	3.2	2.5
	2.63	3.42	2.53	Watch
	2.5	3.33	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.65)	3.35 (3.35)	2.46 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cove Rangers
35.4%

Draw
27.3%

Queen of the South
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

27%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

27.4%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cove Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Queen of the South has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (+1%)

Cove Rangers - Queen of the South Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mutch R. (G) 2. Bisland L. 15. Darge A. 32. Parker L. 7. Harrington R. 24. Fyvie F. (C) 14. Masson J. 22. O'Donnell L. 8. Yule B. 18. Emslie A. 9. Megginson M.	1. Stewart R. (G) 2. Hewitt M. 5. Douglas M. (C) 15. Rogerson N. 3. Charters T. 8. Luissint B. 4. Lyon R. 7. Smith L. 18. Stott J. 28. Guthrie K. 10. Kennedy K.
Substitutes
26. Carroll L. 21. Demus B. (G) 20. Eguaibor D. 6. Eguaibor J. 77. Maguire C. 17. McAllister R. 4. Strachan M. 16. Teasdale J.	9. Allan J. 11. Dickenson B. 26. Green L. (G) 14. Johnstone B. 16. MacKenzie Z. 20. Mason S. 19. Mazwi M. 21. Ross E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Kennedy K. ⚽,
16', Douglas M. 🟨,
21', Yule B. 🟨,
35', Fyvie F. 🟨,
45', Lyon R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Parker L. 🟨,
58', Smith L. ↓, Dickenson B. ↑,
63', Guthrie K. 🟨,
64', Stott J. ↓, Mazwi M. ↑,
67', O'Donnell L. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Megginson M. ⚽, O'Donnell L. (A),
72', Fyvie F. ↓, Carroll L. ↑,
72', O'Donnell L. ↓, Teasdale J. ↑,
72', Masson J. ↓, Maguire C. ↑,
83', Dickenson B. 🟨,
83', Carroll L. 🟨,
90+1', Mazwi M. ↓, Johnstone B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cove won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Cove has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cove won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cove won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Cove Rangers: 0.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Queen of South	9	2	1	6	10:27	-17	7
10	Cove Rangers	9	1	2	6	8:15	-7	5

Last Results with these Odds

Queen of the South - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 38.76%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cove Rangers
Scottish League One
31.01.26	Alloa Athletic - Cove Rangers	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Hamilton Academical - Cove Rangers	2:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Kelty Hearts - Cove Rangers	2:1 penalties ✺
Scottish League One
10.01.26	Cove Rangers - Inverness	0:0 ✺
27.12.25	Peterhead - Cove Rangers	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLLTW
- Queen of the South
Scottish League One
31.01.26	Queen of the South - Inverness	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	East Fife - Queen of the South	1:5 ✺
10.01.26	Queen of the South - Kelty Hearts	3:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
06.01.26	Raith Rovers - Queen of the South	1:0 ✺
Scottish League One
03.01.26	Stenhousemuir - Queen of the South	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
06.12.25	Queen of the South - Cove Rangers	1:1
02.08.25	Cove Rangers - Queen of the South	0:2
Scottish Football Championship
10.05.25	Cove Rangers - Queen of the South	2:1
06.05.25	Queen of the South - Cove Rangers	0:0
Scottish League One
08.03.25	Cove Rangers - Queen of the South	3:1
04.01.25	Queen of the South - Cove Rangers	1:0
19.10.24	Cove Rangers - Queen of the South	2:0

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