Match Info

Championship - Round 28

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stark's Park (Kirkcaldy)


	Raith Rovers		Partick Thistle

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.38	Watch
	2.98	3.1	2.38	Watch
	2.95	3.23	2.5
	2.88	3.24	2.45	Watch
	2.88	3	2.4
	2.94	3.26	2.47	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (2.89)	3.15 ↑ (3.13)	2.41 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raith Rovers
32.2%

Draw
29.5%

Partick Thistle
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

29.5%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

29.2%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Partick Thistle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	27.3%	45.5%

Raith Rovers - Partick Thistle Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Raith will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Partick will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Partick: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rae J. (G) 22. Doherty J. 5. Fordyce C. 4. Hanlon P. 26. Stevenson L. 8. Matthews R. (C) 29. Nsio P. 19. Winter A. 25. Montagu K. 23. Easton D. 11. Cameron I.	1. Budinauckas L. (G) 5. Ashcroft L. (C) 20. O'Reilly D. 22. Loughrey C. 24. McPherson B. 17. Ingram E. 6. Turner K. 19. McBeth L. 26. Stanway B. 21. Fitzpatrick A. 9. Samuel A.
Substitutes
7. Chin R. 24. Glavin A. (G) 14. Mullin J. 6. O'Connor D. 2. Rowe J. 3. Wilson E.	14. Crawford R. 18. Diack R. 42. Dolan L. 39. Falconer M. 44. Gray D. 64. Letsosa T. 2. Logan C. 3. Reading P. 48. Storey C. (G)
Coaches
Imrie D.	Wilson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', Doherty J. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
40', 0 - 1, McPherson B. ⚽, Fitzpatrick A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Winter A. ↓, Chin R. ↑,
65', Loughrey C. ↓, Reading P. ↑,
71', Fordyce C. 🟨,
79', Stanway B. 🟨,
79', McPherson B. ↓, Letsosa T. ↑,
85', Stanway B. ↓, Crawford R. ↑,
89', Ashcroft L. 🟨,
90+2', Ingram E. 🟨,
90+4', Hanlon P. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 2, Fitzpatrick A. ⚽,
90+6', Turner K. 🟨,

Preview

Postponed due to domestic cup.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raith won 2.

In recent matches, Raith has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Partick is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Partick may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Raith has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Raith won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Raith won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 1.9:0.8).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Raith: 15.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Raith	10	6	2	2	15:6	9	20
3	Partick Thistle	9	5	3	1	10:3	7	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raith Rovers
Scottish Football Championship
21.03.26	Raith Rovers - Airdrieonians	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Raith Rovers	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Ross County - Raith Rovers	2:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
25.02.26	Airdrieonians - Raith Rovers	1:2 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
20.02.26	Raith Rovers - St. Johnstone	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWT
- Partick Thistle
Scottish Football Championship
20.03.26	Partick Thistle - St. Johnstone	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Greenock Morton - Partick Thistle	1:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
08.03.26	St. Mirren - Partick Thistle	2:1 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
28.02.26	Partick Thistle - Arbroath	0:0 ✺
24.02.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
20.12.25	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	0:0
25.10.25	Raith Rovers - Partick Thistle	2:0
30.08.25	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	3:2
21.03.25	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	0:0
15.02.25	Raith Rovers - Partick Thistle	3:0
09.11.24	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	1:1
10.08.24	Raith Rovers - Partick Thistle	1:0

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