Match Info

Irish Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stangmore Park (Dungannon)


	Dungannon Swifts		Ards

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	7.1
	1.35	4.94	6.82	Watch
	1.33	4.5	6.5
	1.37	5.21	6.86
	1.28	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.43)	4.88 ↑ (4.53)	6.96 ↑ (5.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dungannon Swifts
68.2%

Draw
18.7%

Ards
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

20.2%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

19.5%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dungannon Swifts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Ards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ards than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Dungannon Swifts - Ards Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, McAllister S. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Ogedi-Uzokwe J. ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, Dillon K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Ards may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dungannon is seen as the favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dungannon won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dungannon Swifts
Northern Irish Premiership
03.01.26	Crusaders - Dungannon Swifts	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	Glenavon - Dungannon Swifts	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Dungannon Swifts - Bangor	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Dungannon Swifts - Portadown	4:2 ✺
13.12.25	Carrick Rangers - Dungannon Swifts	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWT
- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
30.12.25	Armagh City - Ards	0:8 ✺
26.12.25	Ards - Warrenpoint Town	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Dundela - Ards	1:4 ✺
06.12.25	Ards - Loughgall	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Annagh United - Ards	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish League Cup
08.10.25	Ards - Dungannon Swifts	1:2 penalties
Northern Irish Cup
07.01.23	Dungannon Swifts - Ards	3:1
Northern Irish Premiership
23.04.19	Ards - Dungannon Swifts	1:0
29.12.18	Dungannon Swifts - Ards	0:3
03.11.18	Ards - Dungannon Swifts	2:2
22.09.18	Dungannon Swifts - Ards	0:0
28.04.18	Ards - Dungannon Swifts	3:4

Upcoming Matches