Match Info

FRANCE: Coupe de France - 1/128-finals

Date: 15 November 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Charlety (Paris)


	Paris FC		Quevilly

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.2	7.5
	1.39	4.6	6.5
	1.4	4.55	8.8
	1.42	4.05	7.41	Watch
	1.33	4.6	7.5
	1.38	4.8	7.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.43)	4.47 ↑ (4.19)	7.54 ↑ (6.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
67%

Draw
20.7%

Quevilly
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

21.8%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

20.7%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Quevilly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quevilly than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Paris FC - Quevilly Predictions

Users Predictions: Paris FC will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Dali Amar B. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Dicko N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, (Pen),
1, Fortune Y. (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, Tshipamba I. (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, Sylva K. (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, Dede-Lhomme Y. (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 2.

Paris FC is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Quevilly is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Paris FC is indisputable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 23:10 (average 1.9:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:4 (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
09.11.24	Pau - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
01.11.24	Paris FC - Rodez	3:3 ✺
29.10.24	Amiens - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
26.10.24	Paris FC - Grenoble	2:1 ✺
21.10.24	Troyes - Paris FC	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTTWW
- US Quevilly
French Ligue 3
08.11.24	Nîmes - Quevilly	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Quevilly - Orleans	1:1 ✺
23.10.24	Aubagne - Quevilly	1:1 ✺
18.10.24	Quevilly - Nancy	0:1 ✺
04.10.24	Paris 13 Atletico - Quevilly	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
24.02.24	Quevilly - Paris FC	0:0
19.12.23	Paris FC - Quevilly	2:2
28.01.23	Quevilly - Paris FC	3:1
06.08.22	Paris FC - Quevilly	2:1
12.02.22	Paris FC - Quevilly	3:0
28.08.21	Quevilly - Paris FC	0:1
20.04.18	Quevilly - Paris FC	0:4

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