Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 38

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Robert Diochon (Rouen)

Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
France	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Sports


	Quevilly		Saint-Étienne

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.5	1.45	Watch
	5.5	4.6	1.49
	5.5	4.75	1.47	Watch
	6.15	4.7	1.49
	6.15	4.61	1.48
	5.8	4.6	1.44
	5.75	4.75	1.5	Watch
	5.8	4.6	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.8 ↑ (4.83)	4.64 ↑ (3.94)	1.47 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quevilly
16.2%

Draw
20.2%

Saint-Étienne
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

23.9%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

22.7%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quevilly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Étienne's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quevilly than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.1%	0%	93.9%

Quevilly - Saint Étienne Predictions

Users Predictions: Saint-Étienne will win (31 of 33 users predict this - 93.94%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leroy B. (G) 20. Cisse N. 6. Batisse A. 5. Cissokho T. 7. Pendant J. 17. Sangare G. 8. Cadiou N. 93. Camara M. 12. Gbelle G. 90. Yade P. 19. Coulibaly K.	42. Green E. (G) 27. Macon Y. 23. Briancon A. 3. Nade M. 19. Petrot L. 29. Moueffek A. 6. Bouchouari B. 11. Cardona I. 10. Mbuku N. 14. Chambost D. 9. Sissoko I.
Substitutes
10. Bonnet A. 16. Bonnevie K. (G) 23. Delaurier-Chaubet L. 14. Do Marcolino F. 22. Loric S. 31. Poha D. 9. Soumano S.	8. Appiah D. 21. Batubinsika D. 13. Bentayg M. 18. Cafaro M. 26. Fomba L. 5. Tardieu F. 60. Toure I. (G)
Coaches
Garcia J.	Dall'Oglio O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Gbelle G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Cadiou N. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Soumano S. ⚽,
64', Bouchouari B. ↓, Cafaro M. ↑,
70', Petrot L. ↓, Appiah D. ↑,
70', Macon Y. ↓, Bentayg M. ↑,
77', Pendant J. ↓, Loric S. ↑,
77', Gbelle G. ↓, Poha D. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Coulibaly K. ⚽, Camara M. (A),
85', Moueffek A. ↓, Tardieu F. ↑,
88', Cissokho T. 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, Sissoko I. (Pen),
90', Coulibaly K. ↓, Bonnet A. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Quevilly is Relegated to National

Quevilly is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Saint-Étienne is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Saint-Étienne is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Quevilly won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Quevilly won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Quevilly
French Ligue 2
10.05.24	Valenciennes - Quevilly	2:1 ✺
03.05.24	Quevilly - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	Ajaccio - Quevilly	1:1 ✺
23.04.24	Quevilly - Amiens	3:3 ✺
20.04.24	Concarneau - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTTT
- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
10.05.24	Saint-Étienne - Rodez	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Guingamp - Saint-Étienne	2:2 ✺
27.04.24	Saint-Étienne - Caen	1:0 ✺
23.04.24	Grenoble - Saint-Étienne	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Saint-Étienne - Bordeaux	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
19.08.23	Saint-Étienne - Quevilly	2:1
20.05.23	Saint-Étienne - Quevilly	4:2
15.08.22	Quevilly - Saint-Étienne	2:2

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