Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 25

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV


	Quintanar del Rey		Marchamalo

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.8	6.25
	1.62	3.45	5.2
	1.49	3.68	6.9
	1.66	3.42	5.19
	1.64	3.75	5.21
	1.62	3.45	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.51)	3.59 ↓ (3.75)	5.66 ↓ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quintanar del Rey
58.2%

Draw
25.6%

Marchamalo
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

24.2%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

24.8%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quintanar del Rey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Marchamalo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quintanar del Rey than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Quintanar del Rey - Marchamalo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Lopez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Quintanar del Rey won 3.

Quintanar del Rey is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marchamalo in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Marchamalo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Quintanar del Rey is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Quintanar del Rey to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Quintanar del Rey won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Quintanar del Rey won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Quintanar del Rey
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
02.03.25	Cazalegas - Quintanar del Rey	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Quintanar del Rey - Socuéllamos	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Villarrubia - Quintanar del Rey	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Quintanar del Rey - Tarancón	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Quintanar del Rey - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTTWW
- CD Marchamalo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
23.02.25	Villarrobledo - Marchamalo	0:6 ✺
08.02.25	Villarrubia - Marchamalo	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Marchamalo	3:3 ✺
18.01.25	Marchamalo - Pedroñeras	3:0 ✺
11.01.25	Marchamalo - Noblejas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
27.10.24	Marchamalo - Quintanar del Rey	0:1
21.01.24	Marchamalo - Quintanar del Rey	2:1
29.01.23	Marchamalo - Quintanar del Rey	2:2
25.09.22	Quintanar del Rey - Marchamalo	3:1
25.04.21	Marchamalo - Quintanar del Rey	1:2
24.02.19	Marchamalo - Quintanar del Rey	0:3
07.10.18	Quintanar del Rey - Marchamalo	1:2

Quintanar del Rey - Marchamalo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide