Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday


	Villarrubia		Marchamalo

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.59	4.83
	1.57	3.74	5.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.67)	3.67 ↑ (3.43)	5 ↑ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarrubia
57.4%

Draw
24.6%

Marchamalo
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

26.5%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

28.7%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarrubia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Marchamalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Villarrubia - Marchamalo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Acuna F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 2, Gomez Berrocal M. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 14).

Recent matches Villarrubia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marchamalo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marchamalo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Villarrubia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Villarrubia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1.3:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Villarrubia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarrubia CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
02.02.25	Cazalegas - Villarrubia	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Villarrubia - Quintanar del Rey	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Manchego - Villarrubia	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Villarrobledo - Villarrubia	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Villarrubia - Socuéllamos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWLW
- CD Marchamalo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
26.01.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Marchamalo	3:3 ✺
18.01.25	Marchamalo - Pedroñeras	3:0 ✺
11.01.25	Marchamalo - Noblejas	3:0 ✺
21.12.24	Deportivo Toledo - Marchamalo	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Marchamalo - Valdepeñas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
28.09.24	Marchamalo - Villarrubia	0:1
11.02.24	Marchamalo - Villarrubia	1:2
23.09.23	Villarrubia - Marchamalo	1:0

Villarrubia - Marchamalo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide