Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 41

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Quorn		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.4	2.2
	2.85	3.45	2.21
	2.87	3.67	2.23	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.2
	2.85	3.4	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.49)	3.42 ↓ (3.61)	2.21 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quorn
32.3%

Draw
26.5%

Needham Market
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

24.9%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

25.4%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quorn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quorn than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-3%)

Quorn - Needham Market Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Duffy J. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Tommy S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, Cowling M. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, Goodson Z. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Quorn has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Needham is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Quorn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Quorn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Needham Market: 0.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Needham Market	9	4	1	4	18:16	2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Needham Market - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quorn
English Southern League Central Division
11.04.26	Quorn - Leiston	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Stamford - Quorn	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Quorn - Sudbury Town	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Stratford Town - Quorn	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Kettering Town - Quorn	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWTL
- Needham Market
English Southern League Central Division
15.04.26	Stourbridge - Needham Market	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Needham Market - Barwell	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Sudbury Town - Needham Market	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Needham Market - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Worcester City - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
06.12.25	Needham Market - Quorn	0:3

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