Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 40

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Needham Market		Barwell

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.45	5.5
	1.43	4.63	5.6
	1.46	4.81	5.74	Watch
	1.4	4.2	5.5
	1.53	4.48	5.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.3)	4.51 ↓ (4.98)	5.5 ↓ (7.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
63.1%

Draw
20.3%

Barwell
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

18.2%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Needham Market's form might have worsened.

Barwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Needham Market - Barwell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Jarvis D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Cowling M. ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Chambers S. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Needham won 2.

Needham has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barwell is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Needham is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Needham won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Needham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Needham Market: 0.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Needham Market	9	4	1	4	18:16	2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English Southern League Central Division
06.04.26	Sudbury Town - Needham Market	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Needham Market - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Worcester City - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Redditch United - Needham Market	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Needham Market - St Ives Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLLW
- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
06.04.26	Barwell - Spalding United	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Alvechurch - Barwell	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Barwell - Kettering Town	2:5 ✺
21.03.26	Barwell - Sudbury Town	2:4 ✺
14.03.26	Worcester City - Barwell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
06.09.25	Barwell - Needham Market	1:1
16.03.24	Needham Market - Barwell	2:1
02.12.23	Barwell - Needham Market	1:2
22.04.23	Barwell - Needham Market	2:0
04.04.23	Needham Market - Barwell	1:2
11.12.21	Barwell - Needham Market	2:3
02.10.21	Needham Market - Barwell	2:2

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