Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 40

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Quorn		Leiston

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.85	3.05
	1.97	4.16	2.9
	1.96	4.41	3.02	Watch
	1.85	3.75	3.1
	1.84	3.9	3.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.8)	4.01 ↑ (3.74)	3.08 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quorn
47.7%

Draw
22.7%

Leiston
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

24.2%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

23.1%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quorn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quorn than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quorn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leiston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Quorn - Leiston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Rangel J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 1 - 1, Duffy J. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 2, Blois R. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 11).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Quorn might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Quorn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Leiston: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Leiston	9	3	2	4	17:17	0	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quorn
English Southern League Central Division
06.04.26	Stamford - Quorn	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Quorn - Sudbury Town	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Stratford Town - Quorn	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Kettering Town - Quorn	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Quorn - Banbury United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTLW
- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
06.04.26	Leiston - Bury Town	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Redditch United - Leiston	4:0 ✺
28.03.26	Leiston - Banbury United	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Leiston - Worcester City	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Stamford - Leiston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
06.09.25	Leiston - Quorn	2:3

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