Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 37

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Worcester City		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.35	2.48
	2.4	3.5	2.62
	2.41	3.69	2.61	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.5
	2.36	3.35	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.36)	3.42 ↑ (3.34)	2.55 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worcester City
38.1%

Draw
26.5%

Needham Market
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

26.8%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

27.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worcester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worcester City than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Worcester City - Needham Market Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 1 - 0, Smalley B. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 8)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Needham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Worcester has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Worcester won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Needham Market: 0.61% Worcester: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Needham Market	9	4	1	4	18:16	2	13
17	Worcester	9	1	4	4	7:12	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worcester City
English Southern League Central Division
21.03.26	Leiston - Worcester City	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Real Bedford - Worcester City	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Worcester City - Barwell	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Harborough Town - Worcester City	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Bishops Stortford - Worcester City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTWLW
- Needham Market
English Southern League Central Division
21.03.26	Redditch United - Needham Market	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Needham Market - St Ives Town	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Needham Market - Spalding United	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Real Bedford - Needham Market	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Alvechurch - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
16.08.25	Needham Market - Worcester City	1:0

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