Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 13

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Quorn		Workington

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.75	2.42
	2.57	3.78	2.28
	2.58	3.95	2.33	Watch
	2.50	3.70	2.25
	2.51	4.07	2.35
	2.45	3.75	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.38)	3.83 ↓ (3.84)	2.33 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quorn
36.9%

Draw
23.8%

Workington
39.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

24.2%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

24%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quorn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Workington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quorn than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Workington than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Quorn - Workington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Pennant T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
76', 2 - 0, Kee B. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 0, Lawrence-Lowther J. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 18th and 5th in the Promotion - NPL Premier Division Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Workington	15	7	3	5	26:25	1	24
15	Quorn	14	3	6	5	24:30	-6	15

Last Results with these Odds

Workington - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.74%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quorn
English NPL Premier Division
06.10.26	Quorn - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
03.10.26	Bamber Bridge - Quorn	2:4 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.09.26	Quorn - Leamington	4:2 ✺
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Kettering Town - Quorn	2:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
12.09.26	Guiseley - Quorn	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWLL
- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
06.10.26	Warrington Town - Workington	2:2 ✺
03.10.26	Workington - Cleethorpes Town	1:1 ✺
29.09.26	Emley - Workington	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Bury - Workington	5:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
12.09.26	Workington - Ilkeston	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTWLW

Quorn - Workington