Match Info
NPL Premier Division - Round 10Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday
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Emley |
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Workington |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.45 |
3.40 |
2.37 |
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 |
2.65 |
3.10 |
2.28 |
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 |
2.55 |
3.71 |
2.36 |
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2.84 |
3.82 |
2.2 |
 Watch |
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2.45 |
3.65 |
2.30 |
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2.55 |
3.85 |
2.39 |
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2.55 |
3.45 |
2.38 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↓
(3.06) |
3.57 ↑
(3.53) |
2.33 ↑
(2.03) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Emley
35.3% | Draw
25.5% | Workington
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emley's performance.Workington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Workington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emley than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emley that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Workington than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Workington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Emley - Workington Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 48', 1 - 1, Hunter L. ⚽,
- 53', 1 - 2, Palmer J. J. ⚽,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Jacobs L. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 15th and 8th).Emley is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).Workington is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins). In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory. These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Workington | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 4 | 21 |
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| 19 | Emley | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:22 | -12 | 10 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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