Match Info

Date: 3 March 2020, Tuesday


	Ríver PI		Ceará

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	3.2	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3.1	1.9
	3.75	3.11	1.85
	4.03	3.34	1.92
	3.8	3.2	1.91
	3.94	3.32	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.04)	3.21 ↓ (3.22)	1.9 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ríver PI
23.9%

Draw
28.3%

Ceará
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

28.5%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

21.3%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ríver PI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ríver PI's form might have worsened.

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceará's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ríver PI than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceará could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ríver PI - Ceará Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ríver PI
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
29.02.20	Ríver PI - Flamengo Piauí	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.02.20	Ríver PI - América RN	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.02.20	Imperatriz de Desportos - Ríver PI	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
19.02.20	Ríver PI - 4 de Julho	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.02.20	Confiança - Ríver PI	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
29.02.20	Ceará - Guarany de Sobral	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
26.02.20	Ceará - Botafogo PB	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
22.02.20	Ceará - Caucaia	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
19.02.20	Osasco Sporting - Ceará	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.02.20	Ceará - Bahia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
10.03.15	Ceará - Ríver PI	1:0
11.02.15	Ríver PI - Ceará	1:1

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