The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rīgas FS 32.3%
Draw 26.9%
Valmiera 40.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
27.6%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
27%
32.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rīgas FS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rīgas FS's form might have worsened.
Valmiera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valmiera's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rīgas FS than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rīgas FS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valmiera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
11.1%
88.9%
Rīgas FS - Valmiera Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Valmiera will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Valmiera: 68.4% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches RFS won 1.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
RFS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Valmiera will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches RFS won 12 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 45-22.
Including matches at home between the teams RFS won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-11.
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