Match Info

Date: 28 July 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: National Arena Toshe Proeski (Skopje) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Clancy K. (Sco)


	Shkendija Tetovo		Valmiera

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.9
	2.3	3.3	2.75
	2.3	3.5	3
	2.29	3.35	2.9
	2.28	3.52	2.94
	2.26	3.38	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.04)	3.41 ↑ (3.25)	2.9 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shkendija Tetovo
40.9%

Draw
27.2%

Valmiera
31.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.5%

28.5%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

31.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shkendija Tetovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Valmiera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valmiera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shkendija Tetovo than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shkendija Tetovo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valmiera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23%	14.8%	62.3%

Shkendija Tetovo - Valmiera Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Shkendija will win (votes: 14 - 23%). Valmiera will win (votes: 38 - 62.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valmiera: 50.1% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Valmiera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Shkendija have a series of guest games.

Recently Valmiera have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shkendija won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shkendija Tetovo
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	Valmiera - Shkendija Tetovo	1:2 ✺
14.07.22	Ararat - Shkendija Tetovo	2:2 ✺
07.07.22	Shkendija Tetovo - Ararat	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.06.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Shkendija Tetovo	3:0 ✺
21.06.22	Zrinjski Mostar - Shkendija Tetovo	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTWLT
- Valmiera FK
Latvian Virsliga
24.07.22	Valmiera - Metta	6:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	Valmiera - Shkendija Tetovo	1:2 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
16.07.22	Valmiera - BFC Daugavpils	5:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
10.07.22	Riga - Valmiera	0:2 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
30.06.22	Valmiera - Spartaks	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	Valmiera - Shkendija Tetovo	1:2

Shkendija Tetovo - Valmiera