Match Info

BELGIUM: Challenger Pro League - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade du Tivoli (La Louvière)

Referee: Calluy R. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 2


	RAAL La Louvière		Genk U23

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.5	5.25	Watch
	1.46	4.2	5.25
	1.47	4.5	6	Watch
	1.5	4.85	5.7
	1.5	4.58	5.52	Watch
	1.57	4	5
	1.47	4.4	5.73
	1.47	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.45)	4.44 ↓ (4.48)	5.56 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RAAL La Louvière
62.4%

Draw
20.9%

Genk U23
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

20.7%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

19.4%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RAAL La Louvière has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Genk U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RAAL La Louvière, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

RAAL La Louvière - Genk U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: RAAL La Louvière will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Peano M. (G) 7. Gobitaka F. 31. Camara H. 13. Maisonneuve M. 25. Lamego D. 3. Gillot N. 10. Pau M. 8. Gueulette S. 98. Maes O. 70. Nagera K. 14. Belkheir M.	82. Vliegen O. (G) 2. Pierre K. 34. Palacios A. 54. Onstein J. 55. Yoshinaga Y. 65. Akpan C. 66. Bafdili Z. 64. Martens N. 15. Claes T. 79. Nzoko D. 59. Mirisola R.
Substitutes
26. Bongiovanni A. 5. Corneillie V. 38. Diallo T. 27. Eyongo R. 9. Guindo M. 49. Hoedaert L. 23. Ito J. 11. Liongola J. 1. Valkenaers A. (G)	72. Barry A. A. 70. Bouazzaoui I. 99. Camara A. 62. Cauwel M. 60. Lazar S. E. 73. Mbavu E. 58. Oyatambwe M. 71. Stevens B. (G)
Coaches
Taquin F.	Buffel T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Pau M. ↓, Ito J. ↑,
37', Bafdili Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gobitaka F. ↓, Liongola J. ↑,
46', Nagera K. ↓, Eyongo R. ↑,
52', Maisonneuve M. 🟨,
54', Belkheir M. 🟨,
57', Liongola J. 🟨,
63', Nzoko D. ↓, Oyen L. ↑,
65', Belkheir M. ↓, Guindo M. ↑,
76', Gillot N. ↓, Bongiovanni A. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Yoshinaga Y. ⚽,
84', 1 - 1, Eyongo R. ⚽,
87', Pierre K. 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Maisonneuve M. ⚽,
90', Maes O. 🟨,
90+2', Guindo M. 🟨,
90+4', Bafdili Z. ↓, Oyatambwe M. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches La Louvière is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Genk U23 has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

La Louvière could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match La Louvière is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches La Louvière won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Including matches at home between the teams La Louvière won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Challenger Pro League
01.12.24	Eupen - RAAL La Louvière	3:4 ✺
24.11.24	RAAL La Louvière - Lommel	5:1 ✺
10.11.24	Zulte Waregem - RAAL La Louvière	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	RAAL La Louvière - RFC Liège	3:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
30.10.24	KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière	3:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWL
- Genk U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
29.11.24	Genk U23 - Zulte Waregem	2:3 ✺
22.11.24	Lierse - Genk U23	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Genk U23 - Brugge U23	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Lokeren - Genk U23	4:0 ✺
25.10.24	Genk U23 - Lommel	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.07.23	RAAL La Louvière - Genk U23	1:3

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