Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion Strelnice (Jablonec nad Nisou)

Referee: Lata F. (Alb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Croatia	MAX Sport 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Germany	Laola1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Jablonec		Varaždin

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.61	3.75	4.80
	1.65	3.55	4.95	Watch
	1.69	3.86	4.65
	1.69	3.84	4.7	Watch
	1.67	3.65	4.55
	1.74	3.78	4.73	Watch
	1.67	3.75	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.69)	3.72 ↓ (4.1)	4.71 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jablonec
55.4%

Draw
24.9%

Varaždin
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

23%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

27.4%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jablonec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76%	12%	12%

Jablonec - Varaždin Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Jablonec will win (votes: 19 - 76%). Varaždin will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jablonec: 59.3% – 92.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jablonec (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hanus J. (G) 20. Slama J. 15. Pavlovic D. 4. Tekijaski N. (C) 18. Cedidla M. 13. Sedlacek R. 6. Okeke N. 21. Polidar M. 8. Zorvan F. 7. Chanturishvili V. 44. Jawo L.	33. Silic J. (G) 23. Maglica F. 14. Puncec R. (C) 5. Lesjak S. 4. Skaricic L. 8. Duvnjak T. 28. Canjuga I. 7. Vuk M. 22. Mamic L. 38. Tavares I. 10. Latkovic A.
Substitutes
16. Ahl H. 19. Chramosta J. 42. Malensek M. 99. Mihelak K. (G) 25. Nebyla S. 57. Novak F. 9. Rusek A. 23. Sobol E. 14. Soucek D. 27. Vecheta F.	9. Juric S. 17. Mamut I. 24. Marina M. 13. Mladenovski M. 21. Posavec I. 30. Posinkovic L. 20. Sikosek G. 16. Tepsic N. 1. Zelenika O. (G)
Coaches
Kozel L.	Safaric N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Puncec R. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vuk M. ↓, Sikosek G. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Pavlovic D. ⚽, Slama J. (A),
54', Duvnjak T. 🟨,
58', Lesjak S. ↓, Marina M. ↑,
59', Duvnjak T. ↓, Mamut I. ↑,
63', Slama J. ↓, Rusek A. ↑,
77', Rusek A. 🟨,
77', Jawo L. ↓, Vecheta F. ↑,
77', Zorvan F. ↓, Nebyla S. ↑,
81', Kozel L. 🟨,
84', Skaricic L. ↓, Mladenovski M. ↑,
85', Tavares I. ↓, Juric S. ↑,
86', Sedlacek R. ↓, Soucek D. ↑,
87', Chanturishvili V. ↓, Ahl H. ↑,
90', Canjuga I. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 2-3.

Jablonec has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Varaždin is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Varaždin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jablonec is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jablonec won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Jablonec: 0.3%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jablonec
Czech 1 Liga
26.07.26	Jablonec - Sigma Olomouc	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Varaždin - Jablonec	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Jablonec - Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Jablonec - Osnabrück	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Liefering - Jablonec	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWL
- NK Varaždin
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Varaždin - Jablonec	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Varaždin - Beltinci	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Varaždin - Kustošija	3:1 ✺
12.07.26	Bihor Oradea - Varaždin	1:3 ✺
10.07.26	Radomlje - Varaždin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Varaždin - Jablonec	3:2

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