Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 2

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Arnosta Kostala (Pardubice)

Referee: Bohata A. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Pardubice		Jablonec

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.30	3.00
	2.30	3.30	2.90
	2.33	3.35	2.80	Watch
	2.32	3.45	3.14
	2.32	3.41	2.95	Watch
	2.25	3.40	3.05
	2.37	3.42	2.96	Watch
	2.28	3.30	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.52)	3.37 ↑ (3.18)	2.97 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pardubice
40.7%

Draw
27.8%

Jablonec
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

29.2%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

30.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pardubice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	55.6%	22.2%

Pardubice - Jablonec Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pardubice will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Jablonec will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Serak J. (G) 6. Icha M. 44. Bammens S. 43. Noslin J. 15. Godwin E. 19. Hlavaty M. 16. Jelinek T. 40. Boledovic T. 17. Drchal V. 10. Patrak V. (C) 20. Tanko A.	99. Mihelak K. (G) 15. Pavlovic D. 4. Tekijaski N. (C) 57. Novak F. 14. Soucek D. 25. Nebyla S. 13. Sedlacek R. 7. Chanturishvili V. 10. Suchan J. 9. Rusek A. 19. Chramosta J.
Substitutes
90. Botos G. 29. Hamza J. 25. Mahuta R. 30. Mandous A. (G) 18. Misek S. 35. Samuel V. 8. Simek S. 9. Smekal D. 24. Solil T. 21. Traore M. 12. Tredl J.	16. Ahl H. 18. Cedidla M. 1. Hanus J. (G) 22. Horak R. 44. Jawo L. 42. Malensek M. 6. Okeke N. 21. Polidar M. 20. Slama J. 23. Sobol E. 8. Zorvan F.
Coaches
Trousil J.	Kozel L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Icha M. (Own goal),
43', Noslin J. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Chramosta J. ⚽, Suchan J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Godwin E. ↓, Botos G. ↑,
56', Drchal V. ↓, Smekal D. ↑,
57', Chramosta J. ↓, Jawo L. ↑,
66', Patrak V. ↓, Samuel V. ↑,
66', Hlavaty M. ↓, Simek S. ↑,
72', Nebyla S. ↓, Okeke N. ↑,
72', Suchan J. ↓, Zorvan F. ↑,
74', Icha M. ↓, Tredl J. ↑,
83', Rusek A. ↓, Polidar M. ↑,
83', Soucek D. ↓, Cedidla M. ↑,
88', Jawo L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 1.

Pardubice has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jablonec is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Jablonec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Pardubice has had a series of away games.

Recently, Jablonec has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Pardubice: Kharatishvili L. (Elbow Injury)

There will not play in Jablonec: Milla K. (Injury) Vecheta F. (Loan agreement)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Pardubice won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.8:0.8).

Outrights of Czech 1 Liga for now

Jablonec: 1.02% FK Pardubice: 0.8%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Jablonec	10	5	2	3	12:9	3	17
13	FK Pardubice	9	2	2	5	9:14	-5	8

Last Results with these Odds

Jablonec - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 33.98%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Pardubice
Czech 1 Liga
26.07.26	Hradec Králové - Pardubice	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Vysočina Jihlava - Pardubice	0:5 ✺
09.07.26	Cracovia - Pardubice	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Rapid Wien - Pardubice	2:2 ✺
01.07.26	Pardubice - Žilina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLTT
- FK Jablonec
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Jablonec - Varaždin	2:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
26.07.26	Jablonec - Sigma Olomouc	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Varaždin - Jablonec	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Jablonec - Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Jablonec - Osnabrück	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
15.02.26	Pardubice - Jablonec	0:2
14.09.25	Jablonec - Pardubice	3:2
13.04.25	Jablonec - Pardubice	1:0
09.11.24	Pardubice - Jablonec	2:0
16.05.24	Jablonec - Pardubice	3:0
26.11.23	Jablonec - Pardubice	2:1
29.07.23	Pardubice - Jablonec	0:0

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