Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 23

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Edmond Machtens Stadium (Brussels)

Referee: Simonini M. (Bel)


	RWDM Brussels		Gent U23

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.4	3.45	2.68
	2.5	3.78	2.59
	2.32	3.81	2.7	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.5
	2.45	3.47	2.6	Watch
	2.42	3.5	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.12)	3.54 ↑ (3.39)	2.59 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RWDM Brussels
38.3%

Draw
26.1%

Gent U23
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

27.1%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27.5%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RWDM Brussels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RWDM Brussels's form might have worsened.

Gent U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gent U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RWDM Brussels than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RWDM Brussels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent U23 than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gent U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

RWDM Brussels - Gent U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Bengui J. (G) 83. Lemmens M. 47. Verhaeghe M. 4. Doudaev D. R. (C) 31. Dodeigne N. 26. Kestens P. 6. Huguinho 30. Loune A. 29. Maurer A. 8. Jacob Montes 17. Adamo V.	30. Peersman K. (G) 27. De Vlieger T. 38. Soumah M. 71. Blondeel P. 35. De Meyer G. 62. Asselman W. 28. El Adfaoui M. 61. Abdullahi A. 78. Mukuna D. 56. Diallo M. 77. Vanderdonck G.
Substitutes
14. Dumont O. 1. Lathouwers B. (G) 19. Montoro F. 59. Moore T. 20. Poku K. 10. Robail G. 45. Sanhaji B. 9. Simbakoli U. 60. Szulc O.	60. Buggea S. 51. De Coninck V. (G) 65. Morel B. 67. Soroka O. 63. Sota T. 73. Sylla A. D. 50. Vanden Borre R. (G) 54. Vernemmen H. 79. Vydysh R.
Coaches
Bruno C.	Matton T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Maurer A. ⚽, Kestens P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Soumah M. 🟨,
67', Adamo V. ↓, Simbakoli U. ↑,
67', Jacob Montes ↓, Szulc O. ↑,
73', Dodeigne N. ↓, Sanhaji B. ↑,
73', Vanderdonck G. ↓, Sylla A. D. ↑,
74', Blondeel P. ↓, Buggea S. ↑,
74', El Adfaoui M. ↓, Vydysh R. ↑,
86', Loune A. ↓, Dumont O. ↑,
86', Maurer A. ↓, Montoro F. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).

RWDM Brussels has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gent U23 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

RWDM Brussels may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, RWDM Brussels won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Gent U23	5	1	2	2	6:9	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RWDM Brussels
Belgian Challenger Pro League
27.01.26	Genk U23 - RWDM Brussels	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	RWDM Brussels - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	2:4 ✺
16.01.26	Seraing - RWDM Brussels	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	RWDM Brussels - RFC Liège	0:3 ✺
17.12.25	Brugge U23 - RWDM Brussels	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLLW
- AA Gent U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
28.01.26	Gent U23 - Beveren	2:4 ✺
25.01.26	Gent U23 - Francs Borains	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Anderlecht U23 - Gent U23	1:2 ✺
19.12.25	Gent U23 - Seraing	3:1 ✺
16.12.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Gent U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
28.09.25	Gent U23 - RWDM Brussels	0:2

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