Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 20

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Stade du Pairay (Seraing)

Referee: Stevens T. (Bel)


	Seraing		RWDM Brussels

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.2	2.35	Watch
	2.82	3.35	2.32	Watch
	3.03	3.7	2.15	Watch
	2.63	3.2	2.3
	2.74	3.35	2.46	Watch
	2.71	3.4	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.85)	3.37 ↓ (3.44)	2.32 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seraing
33.2%

Draw
27.2%

RWDM Brussels
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

26.6%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

26%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seraing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

RWDM Brussels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RWDM Brussels than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	62.5%	25%

Seraing - RWDM Brussels Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Seraing will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). RWDM Brussels will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gillekens N. (G) 5. Bukusu K. 6. Solheid N. 27. Paulo da Silva T. 10. Faye S. 23. Diarra D. 22. Scarpinati M. 15. Ndiaye C. O. 11. Muland M. 25. Ba A. 9. Soumah-Abbad E.	23. Bengui J. (G) 4. Doudaev D. R. 47. Verhaeghe M. 14. Dumont O. 31. Dodeigne N. 59. Moore T. 83. Lemmens M. 7. Sapata 6. Huguinho 19. Montoro F. 9. Simbakoli U.
Substitutes
17. Boukteb B. 13. Camara H. 4. Da Costa E. 29. De Bolle A. (G) 28. Gaye T. 3. Kebe O. 24. Lockman T. 26. Ondo-Eyi H.	17. Adamo V. 28. Hubert G. (G) 8. Jacob Montes 13. Keita M. 48. Keptoukoua J. 26. Kestens P. 20. Poku K. 60. Szulc O.
Coaches
Caprasse K.	Bruno C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Sapata ⚽, Verhaeghe M. (A),
14', Huguinho 🟨,
31', Ba A. ↓, Ondo-Eyi H. ↑,
41', 1 - 1, Soumah-Abbad E. (Penalty Awarded),
43', Doudaev D. R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Moore T. ↓, Kestens P. ↑,
46', Huguinho ↓, Szulc O. ↑,
51', Sapata 🟨,
59', Diarra D. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
59', Bukusu K. ↓, Camara H. ↑,
59', Faye S. ↓, Lockman T. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Soumah-Abbad E. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Ondo-Eyi H. 🟨,
72', Lemmens M. 🟨,
72', Da Costa E. 🟨,
75', Doudaev D. R. ↓, Keita M. ↑,
84', Sapata ↓, Jacob Montes ↑,
85', Soumah-Abbad E. 🟨,
88', 3 - 1, Ondo-Eyi H. ⚽,
90+1', Soumah-Abbad E. ↓, Boukteb B. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seraing won 1.

Recent form of Seraing has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

RWDM Brussels's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

RWDM Brussels may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Seraing won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Seraing won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Seraing	6	0	2	4	6:12	-6	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RFC Seraing
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Ajax - Seraing	4:0 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
19.12.25	Gent U23 - Seraing	3:1 ✺
13.12.25	Kortrijk - Seraing	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Seraing - Eupen	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Seraing - Brugge U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW
- RWDM Brussels
Belgian Challenger Pro League
21.12.25	RWDM Brussels - RFC Liège	0:3 ✺
17.12.25	Brugge U23 - RWDM Brussels	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	RWDM Brussels - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:3 ✺
06.12.25	Anderlecht U23 - RWDM Brussels	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	RWDM Brussels - Francs Borains	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
14.09.25	RWDM Brussels - Seraing	5:0
28.03.25	RWDM Brussels - Seraing	3:0
01.12.24	Seraing - RWDM Brussels	4:4
30.04.22	Seraing - RWDM Brussels	0:0
23.04.22	RWDM Brussels - Seraing	0:1
21.03.21	Seraing - RWDM Brussels	1:0
03.03.21	RWDM Brussels - Seraing	2:4

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