Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Juan Domingo Perón (Avellaneda)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4


	Racing		Atlético Nacional

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.49	4.2	6.25
	1.52	4.2	6.5
	1.51	4.4	6.76
	1.4	3.9	6
	1.48	4.35	6.6	Watch
	1.5	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.71)	4.21 ↑ (3.4)	6.37 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS En Espa√±ol (Canada)

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Current Win Probability

Racing
63%

Draw
22.3%

Atlético Nacional
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

27.5%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

27.2%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing's performance.

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	8.7%	8.7%

Racing - Atlético Nacional Predictions

Users Predictions: Racing will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Arias G. (G) 38. Rubio T. 30. Sigali L. (C) 33. Piovi G. 3. Rojas G. 23. Oroz N. 29. Moreno A. 11. Gomez J. 26. Ojeda A. A. 10. Martinez Tobinson R. B. 7. Hauche G.	1. Castillo H. (G) 42. Castro C. 3. Aguirre Tabares J. F. 2. Zapata C. (C) 77. Angulo A. 5. Duque J. 30. Solis Romero J. E. 26. Deossa N. 7. Moreno N. 9. Duque J. 10. Cantera M.
Substitutes
31. Cabellos C. 47. Galvan I. 49. Kozlovsky N. 16. Martirena Torres G. N. 34. Mura F. 18. Perez T. 4. Pillud I. . 35. Quiros S. 37. Rodriguez B. 15. Romero M. 13. Tagliamonte M. (G) 41. Vera S.	21. Angel Gutierrez T. 36. Arias J. J. 37. Asprilla Moreno J. 25. Marquinez L. 28. Mena Y. 32. Ocampo E. 31. Palacios Alzate B. 22. Perea O. 24. Ramirez E. 6. Roman A. 4. Salazar A. 13. Torres Patino J. P.
Coaches
Gago F.	De Andrade W. A.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-4.

Recent matches Racing is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Nacional is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Racing is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Racing won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Copa Libertadores
03.08.23	Atlético Nacional - Racing	4:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.07.23	River Plate - Racing	2:1 ✺
24.07.23	Racing - Central Córdoba	3:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
19.07.23	Racing - San Martín de Tucumán	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.07.23	Racing - Rosario Central	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWT
- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
06.08.23	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.08.23	Atlético Nacional - Racing	4:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
29.07.23	Atlético Nacional - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
26.07.23	América de Cali - Atlético Nacional	1:3 ✺
Colombian Primera A
16.07.23	Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
03.08.23	Atlético Nacional - Racing	4:2

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