Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Monumental (Buenos Aires) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Argentina	19:15	AFA Play, FOX Sports 2, HBO Max, TNT Sports
Bolivia	18:15	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	23:15	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Croatia	23:15	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	17:15	ESPN
Germany	23:15	Sportdigital1+, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong Kong	06:15	HOY TV
Israel	00:15	Sport 1
Italy	23:15	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kosovo	23:15	Arena Premium 1
Mexico	16:15	Disney+
North Macedonia	23:15	Arena Premium 1
Peru	17:15	Disney+, ESPN
Serbia	23:15	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	23:15	Arena Sport 1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	23:15	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	23:15	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	19:15	Disney+
Usa	18:15	Fanatiz
Venezuela	18:15	Disney+, ESPN
International	22:15	OneFootball TV


	River Plate		Racing

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.1	7	Watch
	1.49	4.20	6.25
	1.5	4.15	6.3	Watch
	1.51	4.32	7.16
	1.52	4.19	6.3	Watch
	1.47	4.2	6.95
	1.48	4.19	7.24	Watch
	1.5	4.1	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.52)	4.18 ↑ (4.11)	6.7 ↑ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate
63.3%

Draw
22.6%

Racing
14.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.1%

23%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

22.2%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

River Plate - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.92) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Beltran S. (G) 29. Montiel G. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 13. Rivero L. 3. Ortega F. 50. Andrada T. 6. Moreno A. 26. Galvan T. 23. Almada T. 10. Correa A. 18. Beltran L.	25. Cambeses F. (C) 4. Cannavo E. 38. Martinez M. 43. Escudero G. 19. Rodriguez I. 46. Tello A. 5. Kranevitter M. 20. Lodico G. A. 11. Zaracho M. 9. Adrian Martinez 17. Conechny T.
Substitutes
8. Arambarri M. 19. Borre R. 33. Centurion E. (G) 9. Driussi S. 27. Espindola S. 31. Gonzalez F. 20. Gonzalez G. 43. Lucero V. 24. Meza J. 25. Pereyra L. 2. Ramirez T. 44. Silva L.	14. Barinaga J. 23. Colombo N. 32. Diaz L. 24. Fernandez A. 40. Fraga F. 16. Ortegoza U. 33. Perez L. 2. Perez M. 30. Tagliamonte M. (G) 22. Torres E. 7. Vergara D. 42. Volpe G.
Coaches
Ponzio L.	Ariel Romero S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Moreno A. ↓, Silva L. ↑,
33', 1 - 0, Rivero L. ⚽, Correa A. (A),
40', Zaracho M. 🟨,
42', Cannavo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Beltran L. ↓, Meza J. ↑,
58', Galvan T. ↓, Pereyra L. ↑,
59', Tello A. 🟨,
66', Conechny T. 🟨,
68', Kranevitter M. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
68', Tello A. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
83', Conechny T. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
83', Zaracho M. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
87', Lodico G. A. ↓, Fraga F. ↑,
88', Silva L. 🟨,
90+3', Almada T. ↓, Borre R. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals) and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 3.

River Plate is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Racing have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Racing has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The betting markets point to River Plate as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for River Plate: Costantini G. (Inactive) Lucero V. (Inactive) Martinez Quarta L. (Yellow Cards) Portillo J. (Knee Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Racing: Carboni V. (Knee Injury) Di Cesare M. (Broken Leg) Forneris A. (Knee Injury) Miljevic M. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for River Plate: Acuna M. (Inactive).

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, River Plate has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:9 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for River Plate against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:4 goals (averaging 1.6:0.8 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

River Plate - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 62.07%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.10.26	Belgrano - River Plate	0:3 ✺
14.10.26	Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	River Plate - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	River Plate - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Atlético Tucumán - River Plate	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWLW
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.10.26	Racing - Independiente	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Racing - Belgrano	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Racing	1:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
27.09.26	Racing - Boca Juniors	2:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.09.26	Racing - Sarmiento de Junín	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.04.26	Racing - River Plate	0:2
24.11.25	Racing - River Plate	3:2
Copa Argentina
02.10.25	Racing - River Plate	0:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.12.24	Racing - River Plate	1:0
28.07.23	River Plate - Racing	2:1
23.10.22	Racing - River Plate	1:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
27.02.22	River Plate - Racing	2:2

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