Match Info

Copa Argentina - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio 23 de Agosto (Jujuy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Racing		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.90	3.00	3.80
	1.78	3.25	4.95	Watch
	1.78	3.4	5.38
	1.05	10.93	43.73	Watch
	1.76	3.1	5.3
	1.72	3.25	5.53	Watch
	1.65	3.25	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.9)	4.31 ↑ (3.35)	10.56 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing
64.8%

Draw
25%

Defensa y Justicia
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

27.8%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

22.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing's performance.

Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensa y Justicia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-24.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensa y Justicia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Racing - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cambeses F. (G) 4. Cannavo E. 3. Di Cesare M. 6. Rojo M. 18. Pacha 46. Tello A. 13. Sosa S. (C) 11. Zaracho M. 10. Miljevic M. 28. Solari S. 9. Adrian Martinez	36. Amade L. (G) 33. Souto L. 29. Fernandez D. 21. Martinez D. (C) 40. Rodriguez M. 5. Lopez J. 8. Perez C. 24. Gutierrez J. 19. Barbona D. 17. Hausch A. 9. Fernandez L.
Substitutes
23. Colombo N. 17. Conechny T. 43. Escudero G. 5. Kranevitter M. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 16. Ortegoza U. 58. Perez T. 19. Rodriguez I. 30. Tagliamonte M. (G) 22. Torres E. 7. Vergara D.	23. Aguiar M. 6. Amor E. 44. Cabrera M. J. 26. Caceres D. 43. Cantero E. 41. Gagliardi R. 2. Lucero S. 27. Pereyra E. 16. Portillo A. 12. Quintana F. A. (G) 15. Sosa S. 11. Toloza S.
Coaches
Vojvoda J.	Vaccari J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Miljevic M. ⚽, Pacha (A),
31', Fernandez L. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Rojo M. (Penalty Awarded),
44', Miljevic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, Fernandez L. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
58', 3 - 1, Sosa S. ⚽, Zaracho M. (A),
63', Fernandez D. 🟨,
64', Adrian Martinez (Penalty Awarded),
65', Hausch A. ↓, Cabrera M. J. ↑,
65', Lopez J. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
69', Sosa S. 🟨,
70', Miljevic M. ↓, Ortegoza U. ↑,
70', Solari S. ↓, Conechny T. ↑,
74', Souto L. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
74', Barbona D. ↓, Cantero E. ↑,
80', Zaracho M. ↓, Kranevitter M. ↑,
86', Pacha ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
86', Tello A. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
87', 4 - 1, Adrian Martinez ⚽,

Preview

Neutral location.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3.

Racing has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Defensa y Justicia has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Racing is the team to beat.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Racing won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Racing - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 48.97%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Copa Sudamericana
27.05.26	Racing - Independiente Petroleros	2:0 ✺
21.05.26	Racing - Caracas	2:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.05.26	Rosario Central - Racing	2:1 ET ✺
10.05.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Racing	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.26	Botafogo RJ - Racing	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTLWL
- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Defensa y Justicia	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors	0:4 ✺
18.04.26	Independiente - Defensa y Justicia	3:1 ✺
13.04.26	Defensa y Justicia - Talleres de Córdoba	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Instituto Córdoba - Defensa y Justicia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.11.25	Racing - Defensa y Justicia	1:0
28.04.25	Defensa y Justicia - Racing	1:2
19.10.24	Racing - Defensa y Justicia	4:3
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.03.24	Racing - Defensa y Justicia	1:1
01.11.23	Defensa y Justicia - Racing	2:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.05.23	Defensa y Justicia - Racing	1:1
05.10.22	Defensa y Justicia - Racing	3:3

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