Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo (La Plata)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Israel	Sport 1
Mexico	Fanatiz
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Gimnasia La Plata		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.65	2.65	Watch
	3.1	2.75	2.55
	3.5	2.78	2.4	Watch
	3.78	2.85	2.42
	3.64	2.81	2.37
	3.5	2.7	2.3
	3.6	2.75	2.35	Watch
	3.66	2.75	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.45)	2.76 ↑ (2.67)	2.43 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata
26.9%

Draw
34.2%

Estudiantes La Plata
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

34.7%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	50%	41.7%

Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Insfran N. (G) 25. Steimbach A. 4. Giampaoli R. 21. Martinez E. 24. Silva Torrejon P. 16. Max A. 10. Schelotto N. 7. Panaro M. 8. Fernandez N. 26. Torres F. 32. Torres M.	16. Muslera F. (G) 20. Meza E. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 24. Palacios T. 13. Benedetti G. 8. Gabriel Neves 21. Piovi L. 29. Perez Fabricio 25. Medina C. 22. Castro A. 9. Carrillo G.
Substitutes
29. Auzmendi A. 19. Castro L. 35. Cortazzo J. 30. De Asis J. 14. Errecalde G. 2. Gonzalez G. 27. Kadijevic J. (G) 6. Mastrangelo D. 22. Melluso M. 11. Merlo J. 5. Miramon I. 43. Zalazar M.	28. Aguirre B. 27. Alario L. 32. Amondarain M. 17. Burgos J. 18. Cetre E. 11. Farias F. 19. Gaich A. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 4. Nunez S. 10. Palacios T. 7. Sosa J.
Coaches
Zaniratto F.	Dominguez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Max A. 🟨,
37', Gabriel Neves ↓, Amondarain M. ↑,
44', Meza E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Steimbach A. 🟨,
62', Meza E. ↓, Mancuso E. ↑,
63', Castro A. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
64', Torres F. ↓, Zalazar M. ↑,
64', Torres M. ↓, Auzmendi A. ↑,
64', Schelotto N. ↓, Miramon I. ↑,
75', Mancuso E. 🟨,
79', Perez Fabricio ↓, Palacios T. ↑,
79', Giampaoli R. ↓, Cortazzo J. ↑,
87', Fernandez N. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
89', Palacios T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 0.

Estudiantes is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Estudiantes will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F. (Knee Injury) German Conti (Inactive) Mammini I. (Knee Injury) Villarreal S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury) Cetre E. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 1 match, drew 11 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:25. (average 0.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.8:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Gimnasia La Plata - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.79%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.02.26	Barracas Central - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Aldosivi	3:1 ✺
28.01.26	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Racing	2:1 ✺
08.12.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWL
- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.02.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
19.01.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Ituzaingó	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.12.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1
19.10.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0
13.04.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1
28.07.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Gimnasia La Plata	4:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.02.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0
01.10.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.03.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1

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