Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Juan Domingo Perón (Avellaneda) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:00	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	08:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	00:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	19:00	Paramount+
Bulgaria	01:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	19:00	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	00:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Greece	01:00	COSMOTE Sport 8
Indonesia	05:00	Mola TV
Israel	01:00	Sport 3
Italy	00:00	Como TV
Malaysia	06:00	Mola
Mexico	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
New Zealand	10:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Peru	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	23:00	Sport TV1
Russia	01:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	00:00	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	00:00	Arena Sport 1
South America	—	ESPN South
Spain	00:00	LaLiga+
Turkey	01:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Uruguay	19:00	Disney+
Usa	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	18:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Racing		Vélez Sársfield

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.32	3.05	3.2	Watch
	2.27	3.13	3.56
				Watch
	2.23	3.19	3.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.34)	3.12 ↓ (3.16)	3.47 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing
42%

Draw
30.6%

Vélez Sársfield
27.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.8%

30.3%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

31.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	41.2%	0%

Racing - Vélez Sársfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Racing (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cambeses F. (G) 34. Mura F. 18. Pardo F. 23. Colombo N. 27. Rojas G. 5. Nardoni J. 13. Sosa S. (C) 32. Almendra A. E. 17. Conechny T. 9. Adrian Martinez 28. Solari S.	1. Marchiori T. (G) 14. Lagos A. 2. Mammana E. 6. Quiros A. 3. Gomez E. 23. Aliendro R. 26. Bouzat A. (C) 28. Carrizo M. 8. Galvan T. 39. Machuca I. 7. Santos M.
Substitutes
21. Arias G. (G) 77. Balboa A. 16. Barrios M. 3. Di Cesare M. 2. Garcia A. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 19. Rodriguez I. 22. Torres E. 7. Vergara D. 10. Vietto L. 11. Zaracho M. 36. Zuculini B.	50. Andrada T. 35. Arias M. 5. Baeza C. 9. Braian Romero 15. Godoy D. 22. Lanzini M. 12. Montero A. (G) 29. Monzon F. 11. Pellegrini M. 20. Pizzini F. 40. Silvero T. 10. Valdes D.
Coaches
Costas G.	Barros Schelotto G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Gomez E. 🟨,
25', Nardoni J. ↓, Zuculini B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Galvan T. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
46', Aliendro R. ↓, Andrada T. ↑,
66', Almendra A. E. ↓, Zaracho M. ↑,
66', Conechny T. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
68', Santos M. ↓, Braian Romero ↑,
70', Pardo F. 🟨,
82', Rojas G. 🟨,
82', 1 - 0, Solari S. ⚽, Rojas G. (A),
84', Bouzat A. 🟨,
85', Rojas G. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
86', Solari S. ↓, Martirena Torres G. N. ↑,
88', Machuca I. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
88', Lagos A. ↓, Godoy D. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3.

Racing has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vélez is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Racing could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Racing: Rojo M. (Inactive) Solari S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Vélez: Braian Romero (Muscle Injury) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Magallan L. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Vélez: Cavanagh T. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Racing won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 1.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.4:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Vélez Sársfield - the odds 3.31 are the expected chance of winning is 28.9%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.09.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Racing	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.09.25	Vélez Sársfield - Racing	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.09.25	Racing - San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Racing - Unión Santa Fe	2:3 ✺
24.08.25	Argentinos Juniors - Racing	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWLL
- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.09.25	San Martín de San Juan - Vélez Sársfield	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.09.25	Vélez Sársfield - Racing	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.09.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Vélez Sársfield	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Super Cup
06.09.25	Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.08.25	Vélez Sársfield - Lanús	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
16.09.25	Vélez Sársfield - Racing	0:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.10.24	Vélez Sársfield - Racing	1:0
17.06.23	Racing - Vélez Sársfield	2:1
16.06.22	Racing - Vélez Sársfield	2:0
17.07.21	Vélez Sársfield - Racing	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.05.21	Vélez Sársfield - Racing	0:1 penalties
11.12.20	Vélez Sársfield - Racing	2:1

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