Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 15

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	Racing Cartagena MM		El Palo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.7
				Watch
	2.08	3.05	4.16
	2.03	2.95	4.16
	1.96	3.02	3.84
	1.95	3.05	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.7)	3.01 ↑ (2.8)	3.95 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Cartagena MM
46.2%

Draw
30.5%

El Palo
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

31.7%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

30.5%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Cartagena MM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Cartagena MM's performance.

El Palo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Palo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Cartagena MM than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Cartagena MM that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Palo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Racing Cartagena MM - El Palo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Racing Cartagena MM is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

El Palo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Racing Cartagena MM will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Cartagena MM
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.12.23	UCAM Murcia - Racing Cartagena MM	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	Racing Cartagena MM - Vélez	3:0 ✺
19.11.23	Sevilla B - Racing Cartagena MM	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Racing Cartagena MM - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Racing Cartagena MM - Marbella	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWL
- CD El Palo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.12.23	El Palo - Linense	0:2 ✺
26.11.23	Cadiz CF B - El Palo	3:1 ✺
19.11.23	El Palo - Estepona	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Manchego - El Palo	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	El Palo - Águilas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTL

Racing Cartagena MM - El Palo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide