Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	UCAM Murcia		Racing Cartagena MM

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	5
				Watch
	1.66	3.5	6.3
	1.63	3.36	6.3
	1.55	3.45	6
	1.62	3.35	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.87)	3.41 ↑ (2.9)	5.8 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
57.1%

Draw
27%

Racing Cartagena MM
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

31.1%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

30.3%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UCAM Murcia's performance.

Racing Cartagena MM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UCAM Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Cartagena MM than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

UCAM Murcia - Racing Cartagena MM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 8).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match UCAM Murcia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-0.

Including matches at home between the teams UCAM Murcia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.11.23	Linense - UCAM Murcia	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	UCAM Murcia - Cadiz CF B	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Estepona - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	UCAM Murcia - Manchego	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	UCAM Murcia - Linares Deportivo	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLTL
- Racing Cartagena MM
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.11.23	Racing Cartagena MM - Vélez	3:0 ✺
19.11.23	Sevilla B - Racing Cartagena MM	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Racing Cartagena MM - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Racing Cartagena MM - Marbella	0:3 ✺
29.10.23	Linense - Racing Cartagena MM	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.05.23	UCAM Murcia - Racing Cartagena MM	3:0
08.01.23	Racing Cartagena MM - UCAM Murcia	0:0
Club Friendly
07.08.21	UCAM Murcia - Racing Cartagena MM	5:0

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