Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Roberto (Montevideo)

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Racing Montevideo		Boston River

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	3.9	Watch
	1.90	3.20	3.90
	1.88	3.15	3.95
	1.88	3.48	4.77
	1.9	3.42	4.08	Watch
	1.82	3.4	4.5
	1.91	3.39	3.97	Watch
	1.9	3.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.73)	3.32 ↓ (3.35)	4.13 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Montevideo
49.6%

Draw
27.9%

Boston River
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

26.2%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Boston River has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Racing Montevideo - Boston River Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Varese F. (G) 20. Bentancor E. 13. Alvarez F. 29. Gonzalez F. 17. Ferreira M. (C) 10. Da Silva E. 34. Agustin De la Cuesta 39. Vazquez A. 37. Oyarzo Y. 30. Gadea R. 9. Da Silva S.	1. Antunez B. (G) 31. Acosta J. (C) 17. Orona M. 25. Aguirre A. 22. Martinez F. 5. Saravia Salvia R. A. 15. Vazquez L. 16. Suhr L. 13. Aristegui F. 27. Siri N. 9. Bonfiglio F.
Substitutes
5. Bosca J. 15. Cheuquepal D. 40. Gallo S. 18. Habib T. 8. Loprete L. 1. Machado F. (G) 81. Manzur I. 23. Sosa N. 11. Suarez F. 27. Unyicio M.	10. Amado A. 20. Avenatti F. 28. Fernandez A. 4. Fernandez I. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 32. Gonzalez Y. 19. Hornos M. 3. Mancebo M. 24. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 6. Saravia F.
Coaches
Chambian C.	Ithurralde I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Da Silva S. (Penalty Awarded),
23', Aguirre A. 🟨,
25', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
26', Vazquez L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Gadea R. ↓, Habib T. ↑,
46', Gonzalez F. ↓, Bosca J. ↑,
46', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Avenatti F. ↑,
46', Vazquez L. ↓, Amado A. ↑,
46', Aguirre A. ↓, Fernandez I. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Saravia Salvia R. A. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Suhr L. 🟨,
72', 1 - 2, Aristegui F. ⚽,
77', 2 - 2, Da Silva E. ⚽,
79', Da Silva S. ↓, Manzur I. ↑,
80', Aristegui F. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Habib T. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Saravia Salvia R. A. 🟨,
90+3', Da Silva E. ↓, Gallo S. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3.

Racing has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Boston River is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Racing could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Racing won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Racing Montevideo	9	3	3	3	9:8	1	12
11	Boston River	9	2	3	4	10:12	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Boston River - the odds 4.4 are the expected chance of winning is 20.59%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Montevideo
Uruguay Copa
09.09.26	Racing Montevideo - Central Español	2:4 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.09.26	Cerro - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
03.09.26	Oriental de La Paz - Racing Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.08.26	Racing Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Danubio - Racing Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWT
- Boston River
Uruguay Copa
09.09.26	Boston River - Colón Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.09.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Boston River	1:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
02.09.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Boston River	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.08.26	Boston River - Cerro	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Albion Montevideo - Boston River	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
02.08.26	Racing Montevideo - Boston River	1:0
14.03.26	Boston River - Racing Montevideo	0:1
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.26	Boston River - Racing Montevideo	1:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.09.25	Racing Montevideo - Boston River	0:0
Uruguay Copa
10.09.25	Racing Montevideo - Boston River	1:0 penalties
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.05.25	Racing Montevideo - Boston River	2:0
22.03.25	Boston River - Racing Montevideo	1:3

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