Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Referee: Menendez A. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Italy	Como TV
Peru	DirecTV Sports, Disney+
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Inter


	Racing Montevideo		Huracán Buenos Aires

	1	X	2
	6	3.25	1.68	Watch
	3.9	3.2	1.98
	5	3.4	1.72	Watch
	5.8	3.35	1.71
	5.97	3.53	1.67
	4	3.1	1.95	Watch
	6.25	3.25	1.71	Watch
	5	3.4	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↑ (3.45)	3.31 ↑ (3.11)	1.77 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Montevideo
18%

Draw
28.5%

Huracán Buenos Aires
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

30.2%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

29.4%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Montevideo's form might have worsened.

Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Huracán Buenos Aires's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Huracán Buenos Aires, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	4.8%	95.2%

Racing Montevideo - Huracán Buenos Aires Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Huracán will win (votes: 20 - 95.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huracán: 86.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Huracán (1.67) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Huracán Buenos Aires will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Huracán (votes: 16 - 94.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Amade L. (G) 4. Cotugno G. 3. Bueno G. 17. Ferreira M. 34. Pereira A. 15. Caceres M. 10. Rodriguez L. 26. Bosca J. 19. Pinela M. 77. Tomatis B. 22. Severo A.	1. Galindez H. (G) 24. Guidara T. 6. Pereyra F. 31. Pellegrino M. 25. Ibanez C. 5. Perez L. 8. Gil L. 10. Mazzantti W. 18. Miljevic M. 11. Urzi A. 26. Sequeira L.
Substitutes
29. De Lima E. 6. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 21. Fonseca M. 42. Hernandez C. 12. Machado F. (G) 37. Oyarzo Y. 18. Ramirez S. 30. Scarone A. 11. Viudez P.	9. Abila R. 17. Alanis G. 16. Cabral R. 23. Cantillo V. 29. De La Fuente H. 2. Goitea N. 19. Lescano L. 32. Meza S. (G) 33. Moya S. 20. Ojeda E. 7. Tissera M. 21. Watson F. N.
Coaches
Chambian C.	Kudelka F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Tomatis B. ⚽, Caceres M. (A),
39', Ferreira M. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Urzi A. ⚽, Miljevic M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mazzantti W. ↓, Tissera M. ↑,
54', Bosca J. 🟨,
55', 1 - 2, Pereyra F. ⚽, Miljevic M. (A),
59', Pinela M. ↓, Espinosa Dovat T. N. ↑,
59', Bosca J. ↓, Fonseca M. ↑,
71', Urzi A. ↓, Ojeda E. ↑,
71', Tomatis B. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
75', Guidara T. 🟨,
85', Severo A. ↓, Scarone A. ↑,
85', Sequeira L. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
85', Miljevic M. ↓, Alanis G. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 3, Cabral R. ⚽, Alanis G. (A),

Preview

Racing is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Huracán has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Huracán is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Racing won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Last Results with these Odds

Huracán Buenos Aires - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.59%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.05.25	Danubio - Racing Montevideo	0:0 ✺
28.04.25	Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
24.04.25	Corinthians - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.04.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
14.04.25	Racing Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTLLT
- Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Barracas Central	0:1 ✺
29.04.25	Newells Old Boys - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.04.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - América de Cali	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.04.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
14.04.25	Central Córdoba - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
09.04.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Racing Montevideo	5:0

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