Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Tomás Adolfo Duco (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
China	K-Ball
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Huracán Buenos Aires		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.8	Watch
	2	3.1	3.9
	2.1	3.05	3.9	Watch
	2.23	3	4.02
	2.06	3.13	4.09
	1.99	3.22	4.21	Watch
	2.1	3.05	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.15)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	3.97 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huracán Buenos Aires
45.3%

Draw
30.8%

Defensa y Justicia
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

29.5%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

30%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.6%	4.1%	1.4%

Huracán Buenos Aires - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Defensa y Justicia (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Huracán Buenos Aires will win (70 of 74 users predict this - 94.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.44% – 99.74%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Huracán Buenos Aires will win (34 of 34 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Huracán (votes: 34 - 97.1%). Defensa y Justicia (votes: 1 - 2.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galindez H. (C) 24. Guidara T. 6. Pereyra F. 31. Pellegrino M. 19. Lescano L. 8. Gil L. 5. Perez L. 18. Miljevic M. 16. Cabral R. 43. Ramirez E. 11. Urzi A.	25. Bologna E. (G) 14. Cannavo E. 6. Ferreira L. 34. Delgado R. 3. Soto A. 5. Gutierrez K. (C) 24. Gonzalez M. 26. Gonzalez F. 10. Molinas A. 29. Gonzalez G. 7. Osorio A.
Substitutes
9. Abila R. 17. Alanis G. 23. Cantillo V. 29. De La Fuente H. 2. Goitea N. 25. Ibanez C. 10. Mazzantti W. 32. Meza S. (G) 20. Ojeda E. 26. Sequeira L. 21. Watson F. N. 22. Zabala D.	20. Gonzalez L. 16. Larralde V. 1. Masuero F. (G) 9. Miritello J. B. 33. Palavecino N. 8. Perez C. 15. Perez D. 37. Ramirez M. 35. Schamine B. 4. Sienra A. 22. Sosa S. 13. Souto L.
Coaches
Kudelka F.	de Muner P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Delgado R. 🟨,
21', Osorio A. 🟨,
23', Soto A. 🟨,
29', Cabral R. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Ferreira L. ⚽, Molinas A. (A),
34', Ferreira L. 🟨,
42', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
44', Soto A. 🟨,
45', Gutierrez K. 🟨,
45+3', Gil L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gonzalez G. ↓, Perez D. ↑,
46', Cabral R. ↓, Mazzantti W. ↑,
46', Ramirez E. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Lescano L. ⚽,
65', Molinas A. ↓, Schamine B. ↑,
74', Gonzalez F. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
74', Osorio A. ↓, Miritello J. B. ↑,
83', Guidara T. ↓, De La Fuente H. ↑,
84', Urzi A. ↓, Ojeda E. ↑,
87', Gonzalez M. ↓, Sosa S. ↑,
87', Perez L. ↓, Abila R. ↑,
90+4', Schamine B. 🟨,
90+5', Bologna E. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Huracán won 3.

Huracán is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Defensa y Justicia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Huracán is a favorite.

There will not play in Huracán: Carrizo L. (Knee Injury) Gil L. (Injury) Ramirez E. (Injury) Tissera M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Aguilera E. (Muscle Injury) Barbona D. (Knee Injury) Franco L. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Injury) Togni G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Huracán: Urzi A. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Huracán won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16:13 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Huracán won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.2:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Huracán Buenos Aires - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.88%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.04.25	Central Córdoba - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Racing Montevideo	5:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.04.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Aldosivi	3:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.25	Corinthians - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.03.25	Banfield - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWTWT
- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.04.25	Defensa y Justicia - Unión Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
10.04.25	Defensa y Justicia - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.04.25	Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	4:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.25	Cerro Largo - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.03.25	Defensa y Justicia - Tigre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.05.24	Huracán Buenos Aires - Defensa y Justicia	3:1
27.01.23	Defensa y Justicia - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:4
14.06.22	Defensa y Justicia - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1
18.07.21	Huracán Buenos Aires - Defensa y Justicia	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.02.21	Defensa y Justicia - Huracán Buenos Aires	3:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.03.16	Defensa y Justicia - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:2
11.07.15	Huracán Buenos Aires - Defensa y Justicia	0:0

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