Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Roberto (Montevideo)

Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Racing Montevideo		Liverpool Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3	Watch
	2.5	3	2.7
	2.48	2.98	2.82
	2.72	3.05	2.95
	2.6	3.05	2.85	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	2.65	2.91	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.99)	2.96 ↓ (3.01)	2.86 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Montevideo
36.4%

Draw
31.2%

Liverpool Montevideo
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

30.5%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

30.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Montevideo's performance.

Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liverpool Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liverpool Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Racing Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Varese F. (G) 4. Cotugno G. (C) 3. Brazionis 13. Alvarez F. 37. Oyarzo Y. 16. Da Silva E. 21. Alvarez Wallace A. 8. Cairus F. 39. Vazquez A. 77. Tomatis B. 18. Habib T.	25. Campana M. (G) 23. Castillo E. 3. Strasorier S. 15. Laquidain S. 27. Romero D. 24. Amaro K. 20. Rabunal M. (C) 17. de Mello G. 22. Zabala D. 9. Machado R. 11. Bentancourt R.
Substitutes
40. Atum A. 15. Cheuquepal D. 14. De Los Santos E. 19. Dudok R. 17. Ferreira M. 29. Gonzalez F. 1. Machado F. (G) 81. Manzur I. 24. Perez J. 23. Sosa N.	16. Acosta L. 31. Barcelo F. 32. Barrenechea F. 1. Bernatene M. (G) 18. Cayetano A. 10. Degregorio R. M. 34. Lewis K. 7. Martinez F. 29. Olivera E. 4. Perdomo F.
Coaches
Chambian C.	Speranza C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Ferreira M. 🟨,
38', Da Silva E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tomatis B. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
65', Zabala D. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
65', Machado R. ↓, Barcelo F. ↑,
69', Da Silva E. ↓, Manzur I. ↑,
75', Amaro K. ↓, Perdomo F. ↑,
75', de Mello G. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
76', Alvarez Wallace A. ↓, De Los Santos E. ↑,
76', Habib T. ↓, Sosa N. ↑,
86', Oyarzo Y. ↓, Cheuquepal D. ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Alvarez F. ⚽,
90+1', Strasorier S. ↓, Barrenechea F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:33. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Racing Montevideo	9	3	3	3	9:8	1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Liverpool Montevideo - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.7%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.03.26	Boston River - Racing Montevideo	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Racing Montevideo - Cerro	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.26	Boston River - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
28.02.26	Albion Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Racing Montevideo - Danubio	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLWW
- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.03.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	0:0 ✺
09.03.26	Boston River - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.02.26	Independiente Medellín - Liverpool Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
20.02.26	Cerro - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
11.10.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	2:2
14.04.25	Racing Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1
17.08.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:1
18.02.24	Racing Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:2
19.11.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	2:3
02.06.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	3:2
15.04.23	Racing Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1

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