Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday


	Racing Santander B		Gernika

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.6	2.7
	3	2.55	2.6
	2.8	2.85	2.46
	3.13	2.66	2.71
	2.86	3.08	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.64)	2.75 ↓ (2.97)	2.59 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander B
31.3%

Draw
33.3%

Gernika
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

30.3%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

22%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander B than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Santander B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gernika could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Racing Santander B - Gernika Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Racing Santander B is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gernika is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Racing Santander B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
13.11.21	Osasuna B - Racing Santander B	1:1 ✺
06.11.21	Racing Santander B - Sestao	1:2 ✺
31.10.21	Náxara - Racing Santander B	0:4 ✺
24.10.21	Cayón - Racing Santander B	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Racing Santander B - Peña Sport	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLWTT
- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
13.11.21	Gernika - Cayón	3:0 ✺
07.11.21	Peña Sport - Gernika	0:2 ✺
31.10.21	Gernika - Ardoi	2:0 ✺
24.10.21	Racing Rioja - Gernika	4:3 ✺
16.10.21	Gernika - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLT

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