Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 27

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Racing Valverdeño		Diocesano

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.3
	3	3.1	2.25
	2.96	2.96	2.31
	2.97	2.96	2.31
	2.96	3.13	2.28
	3	3.1	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.86)	3.04 ↓ (3.1)	2.28 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Valverdeño
30.7%

Draw
29.7%

Diocesano
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

29.2%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

29.9%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Valverdeño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Valverdeño than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 3)
54', 0 - 1, Ciruela R. ⚽,
60', 1 - 1, Mati ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, Romero A. ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, Martinez F. ⚽,
83', 2 - 3, Martinez F. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Racing Valverdeño won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Racing Valverdeño won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Valverdeño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
17.03.24	Castuera - Racing Valverdeño	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Racing Valverdeño - Moralo	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Arroyo - Racing Valverdeño	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Racing Valverdeño - Olivenza	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Jerez - Racing Valverdeño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LWTTT
- CD Diocesano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
17.03.24	Diocesano - Azuaga	3:3 ✺
10.03.24	Villafranca - Diocesano	3:1 ✺
03.03.24	Diocesano - Fuente de Cantos	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Don Benito - Diocesano	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Diocesano - Pueblonuevo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
05.11.23	Diocesano - Racing Valverdeño	1:1
21.03.21	Racing Valverdeño - Diocesano	0:1
20.12.20	Diocesano - Racing Valverdeño	4:0
08.03.20	Diocesano - Racing Valverdeño	3:0
10.02.19	Diocesano - Racing Valverdeño	2:1

Racing Valverdeño - Diocesano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide