Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 13

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Racing Valverdeño		Villafranca

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.6	1.58
	4.2	3.39	1.72
	4.2	3.39	1.73
	4.4	3.58	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↓ (5)	3.49 ↓ (3.72)	1.68 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Valverdeño
20.5%

Draw
25.8%

Villafranca
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

24.4%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

23.9%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Valverdeño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Valverdeño than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (+5%)

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Racing Valverdeño has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Villafranca is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Racing Valverdeño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Villafranca is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Valverdeño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.11.23	Racing Valverdeño - Don Benito	1:4 ✺
05.11.23	Diocesano - Racing Valverdeño	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Racing Valverdeño - Castuera	0:4 ✺
22.10.23	Moralo - Racing Valverdeño	3:1 ✺
15.10.23	Racing Valverdeño - Arroyo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLL
- SP Villafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
19.11.23	Villafranca - Azuaga	3:0 ✺
12.11.23	Pueblonuevo - Villafranca	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Fuente de Cantos - Villafranca	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Villafranca - Don Benito	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Diocesano - Villafranca	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWTLW

Racing Valverdeño - Villafranca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide