Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Villafranca		Azuaga

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.92	2.42
	2.41	2.91	3
	2.77	2.98	2.57
	2.4	2.9	2.88
	2.36	3.35	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.75)	3.01 ↓ (3.2)	2.75 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villafranca
36.3%

Draw
30.4%

Azuaga
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28.5%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villafranca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Azuaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Azuaga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Azuaga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villafranca - Azuaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 0 - 1, ⚽,
79', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villafranca won 0.

Villafranca has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Azuaga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Villafranca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Azuaga has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Villafranca won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Villafranca won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Azuaga	5	5	0	0	14:2	12	15
15	Villafranca	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SP Villafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
03.04.26	Gévora - Villafranca	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Villafranca - Calamonte	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Puebla de la Calzada - Villafranca	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Villafranca - Jaraíz	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Montehermoso - Villafranca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWL
- CD Azuaga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
05.04.26	Don Benito - Azuaga	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Santa Amalia - Azuaga	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Jerez - Azuaga	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Azuaga - Gévora	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Calamonte - Azuaga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
07.12.25	Azuaga - Villafranca	1:1
16.02.25	Villafranca - Azuaga	1:3
26.05.24	Azuaga - Villafranca	4:0
19.05.24	Villafranca - Azuaga	1:1
07.04.24	Azuaga - Villafranca	2:1
19.11.23	Villafranca - Azuaga	3:0
26.03.23	Villafranca - Azuaga	4:1

Villafranca - Azuaga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide