Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 30

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Miguel Sancho (Cordoba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Racing de Córdoba		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.8	3.6	Watch
	2.15	2.85	3.6
	2.18	2.82	3.6	Watch
	2.27	2.89	3.78
	2.23	2.92	3.59	Watch
	2.19	2.88	3.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.97)	2.86 ↓ (3.03)	3.63 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing de Córdoba
42.1%

Draw
32.3%

Patronato Parana
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

30.4%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

31.4%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing de Córdoba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Racing de Córdoba - Patronato Parana Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maslovski M. (G) 4. Ghiggia F. 2. Albarracin M. 6. Perales V. 3. Fernandez L. 8. Castro T. 5. Rostagno G. 10. Machado M. 11. Gonzalez S. 7. Monti L. 9. Chavarria P.	1. Sosa A. (G) 4. Rueda M. 2. Diaz G. 6. Bellatti S. D. N. 3. Escobar I. 8. Barinaga J. 5. Gallucci S. 10. Pereyra V. L. 7. Castro F. 9. Bonansea A. 11. Marcioni J.
Substitutes
14. Chamorro R. 18. Gutierrez M. 19. Marfort S. 17. Monticelli F. 13. Olivera W. 16. Oviedo E. D. 15. Robles F. 12. Rougier J. (G) 20. Villegas L.	15. Asis G. 20. Barolin J. 14. Diaz F. N. 17. Enrique M. 12. Mazza J. (G) 13. Moreyra F. 16. Picco A. R. 18. Sanchez G. 19. Villarreal V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Ghiggia F. ↓, Chamorro R. ↑,
35', Rostagno G. 🟨,
36', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
43', Albarracin M. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gallucci S. ↓, Sanchez G. ↑,
46', Monti L. ↓, Olivera W. ↑,
46', Gonzalez S. ↓, Monticelli F. ↑,
46', Rueda M. ↓, Moreyra F. ↑,
46', Escobar I. ↓, Enrique M. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Machado M. ⚽,
64', Castro F. ↓, Barolin J. ↑,
66', Bonansea A. 🟨,
72', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Villarreal V. ↑,
74', Sanchez G. 🟨,
78', Moreyra F. 🟨,
78', 🟨,
85', Chavarria P. ↓, Villegas L. ↑,
87', Machado M. ↓, Robles F. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Racing de Córdoba could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Racing de Córdoba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Racing de Córdoba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing de Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.09.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Racing de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Racing de Córdoba - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	San Miguel - Racing de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
11.08.25	Racing de Córdoba - Quilmes	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Los Andes - Racing de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTLWL
- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.08.25	Patronato Parana - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	Colegiales - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Patronato Parana - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
11.08.25	All Boys - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Patronato Parana - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.05.25	Patronato Parana - Racing de Córdoba	3:2
21.07.24	Racing de Córdoba - Patronato Parana	1:0
03.03.24	Patronato Parana - Racing de Córdoba	2:1

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