The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferro Carril Oeste 62.9%
Draw 24.5%
Racing de Córdoba 12.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
64%
25.1%
10.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.5%
23.4%
10.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Racing de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Ferro Carril Oeste - Racing de Córdoba Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Nazareno K. 2. Tevez F. 6. Canto G. 3. Ozuna E. 5. Obradovich F. 7. Gonzalez A. 9. Parisi L. 8. Kabalin M. 10. Hoyos E. 11. Reniero N.
1. Laborda G. (G) 4. Chamorro R. 2. Aranda G. 6. Gomez Pereyra M. (C) 3. Bay J. 10. Pena L. C. 5. Kummer T. 8. Bustos A. 11. Taborda F. 9. Chavarria P. 7. Olinick A.
Substitutes
16. Castellani G. 14. Corda S. 18. Dening E. 17. Garcia F. 19. Garcia S. 15. Gomez N. 20. Marra L. 13. Pena Biafore L. 12. Ruiz L. (G)
13. Avila L. 16. Flores L. 18. Gonzalez S. 17. Machado M. 20. Monticelli F. 12. Olivera B. (G) 14. Sanchez M. 15. Vega G. 19. Viano L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Bay J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Hoyos E. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Parisi L. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Gonzalez A. ↓, Castellani G. ↑,
64', Kummer T. ↓, Machado M. ↑,
64', Bustos A. ↓, Monticelli F. ↑,
74', Kabalin M. ↓, Marra L. ↑,
74', Reniero N. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
74', Pena L. C. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
74', Taborda F. ↓, Viano L. ↑,
78', Aranda G. 🟨,
79', Parisi L. ↓, Gomez N. ↑,
86', Gomez N. 🟨,
89', Olinick A. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final: ) and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Racing de Córdoba may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to Ferro Carril as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Ferro Carril has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:9 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ferro Carril against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 7:3 goals (averaging 2.3:1 per game).