Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 23

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza (Nieciecza)

Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Family, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Termalica Nieciecza		Radomiak Radom

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.3
	2.52	3.55	2.45
	2.61	3.7	2.62
	2.58	3.69	2.58	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.38
	2.72	3.61	2.46	Watch
	2.64	3.26	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.64)	3.54 ↑ (3.11)	2.45 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Termalica Nieciecza
35.7%

Draw
26.3%

Radomiak Radom
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

28.7%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Termalica Nieciecza - Radomiak Radom Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Radomiak will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Termalica: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chovan A. (G) 32. Matysik M. 2. Kopacz B. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 27. Boboc R. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 13. Kubica K. 21. Hilbrycht D. 8. Kurzawa R. 25. Zapolnik K. (C) 7. Fassbender M.	1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 13. Grzesik J. (C) 14. Kingue S. 26. Dieguez A. 3. Wilson-Esbrand J. 2. Camara I. 7. Lopes V. 6. Baro R. 82. Luquinhas 11. Capita 25. Maurides
Substitutes
17. Biniek D. 19. Durdov I. 23. Guerrero S. 29. Isik G. 26. Jakubik W. 9. Jimenez J. 5. Masoero L. 99. Mleczko M. (G) 77. Putivtsev A. 86. Strzalek I. 53. Trubeha A.	5. Blasco J. 16. Cichocki M. 75. Jerke M. (G) 20. Joao Pedro 44. Koptas W. (G) 9. Leandro 33. Markiewicz O. 19. Soumah S. 15. Tapsoba A. 17. Zabicki A. 24. Zie Ouattara
Coaches
Brosz M.	Feio G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wilson-Esbrand J. ↓, Zie Ouattara ↑,
60', Fassbender M. ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
60', Kubica K. ↓, Guerrero S. ↑,
60', Zapolnik K. ↓, Durdov I. ↑,
62', Hilbrycht D. 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Kurzawa R. ⚽, Durdov I. (A),
66', Capita ↓, Soumah S. ↑,
66', Maurides ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
66', Lopes V. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Tapsoba A. ⚽, Zie Ouattara (A),
70', Matysik M. 🟨,
79', Dieguez A. 🟨,
89', Ambrosiewicz M. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
90', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Radomiak may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Radomiak: Balde E. (Red Card) Donis C. (Yellow Cards) Kaput M. (Yellow Cards) Wolski R. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Radomiak Radom: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Radomiak Radom	9	2	2	5	7:20	-13	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.02.26	Raków Częstochowa - Termalica Nieciecza	1:0 ✺
16.02.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1 ✺
02.02.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Cracovia	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.01.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Stal Rzeszów	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTLW
- Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.02.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Radomiak Radom - Korona Kielce	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.01.26	Stal Rzeszów - Radomiak Radom	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Radomiak Radom - Znicz Pruszków	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
22.08.25	Radomiak Radom - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1
Club Friendly
24.03.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Radomiak Radom	0:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.04.22	Termalica Nieciecza - Radomiak Radom	1:1
02.10.21	Radomiak Radom - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1
Polish Division 1
12.05.21	Radomiak Radom - Termalica Nieciecza	0:1
04.10.20	Termalica Nieciecza - Radomiak Radom	3:2
15.07.20	Termalica Nieciecza - Radomiak Radom	1:1

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