Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Motor Lublin Arena (Lublin)

Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Motor Lublin		Wisła Płock

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.92	Watch
	2.31	3.5	3.12
	2.34	3.63	2.82	Watch
	2.33	3.57	2.91	Watch
	2.41	3.04	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.41)	3.44 ↑ (3.04)	2.91 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Motor Lublin
40.6%

Draw
27.2%

Wisła Płock
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.4%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

30.7%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	44.4%	33.3%

Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Wisła Płock will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Motor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brkic I. (G) 28. Stolarski P. 39. Bartos M. 18. Najemski A. 24. Luberecki F. 7. Rodrigues I. 6. Samper S. 68. Wolski B. 26. Krol M. 9. Czubak K. 11. Fabio Ronaldo	12. Leszczynski R. (G) 4. Haglind-Sangre M. 35. Kaminski M. 19. Edmundsson A. 21. Rogelj Z. 14. Kun D. 84. Tavares T. 8. Pacheco D. 13. Lecoeuche Q. 20. Sekulski L. 99. Juric D.
Substitutes
77. Dadashov R. 42. Ede B. 23. Haxha F. 10. Karasek K. 21. Labojko J. 16. Lewandowski F. 3. Matthys H. 2. Meyer P. 47. Palacz K. 8. Scalet M. 33. Tratnik G. (G) 19. van Hoeven B.	2. Custovic K. 17. Djalo M. 16. Hiszpanski F. 3. Kalandadze A. 25. Mijuskovic N. 5. Nastic B. 9. Niarchos G. 30. Nowak W. 6. Pomorski K. 1. Pruszkowski S. (G) 66. Salvador I. 37. Tomczyk O.
Coaches
Stolarski M.	Misiura M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Fabio Ronaldo ⚽,
30', Wolski B. (Pen),
39', Stolarski P. 🟨,
39', Sekulski L. 🟨,
40', Hiszpanski F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Juric D. ↓, Nowak W. ↑,
46', Pacheco D. ↓, Salvador I. ↑,
46', Tavares T. ↓, Mijuskovic N. ↑,
51', Edmundsson A. 🟨,
56', Najemski A. 🟨,
58', Sekulski L. ↓, Niarchos G. ↑,
65', Najemski A. ↓, Matthys H. ↑,
65', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, van Hoeven B. ↑,
67', Bartos M. 🟨,
73', Rogelj Z. ↓, Custovic K. ↑,
73', Samper S. ↓, Labojko J. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Edmundsson A. ⚽,
82', Krol M. ↓, Haxha F. ↑,
82', Wolski B. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
86', Salvador I. 🟨,
89', Mijuskovic N. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

Recent performances by Motor have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wisła Płock is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Motor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Motor: Ndiaye M. (Injury)

There will not play in Wisła Płock: Borowski B. (Inactive) Burek J. (Inactive) Gostomski M. (Knee Injury) Jimenez J. (Foot Injury) Wieckowski M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Motor: Fabio Ronaldo (Injury) Rodrigues I. (Injury)

There are questionable in Wisła Płock: Sekulski L. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Motor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Motor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.11.25	Lech Poznań - Motor Lublin	2:2 ✺
24.10.25	Motor Lublin - Widzew Łódź	3:0 ✺
17.10.25	Motor Lublin - GKS Katowice	2:5 ✺
05.10.25	Raków Częstochowa - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Motor Lublin - Radomiak Radom	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWLLT
- Wisła Płock
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.11.25	Wisła Płock - Pogoń Szczecin	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Radomiak Radom - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
20.10.25	Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza	3:1 ✺
03.10.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Wisła Płock - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.07.25	Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock	2:2
Polish Division 1
05.05.24	Wisła Płock - Motor Lublin	1:0
05.11.23	Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock	2:2
Club Friendly
19.01.21	Wisła Płock - Motor Lublin	2:1

Upcoming Matches