Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 8

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion im. Braci Czachorów (Radom)

Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA, Tubi TV


	Radomiak Radom		Piast Gliwice

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.50	2.63	Watch
	2.40	3.50	2.65
	2.38	3.50	2.75
	2.50	3.67	2.75
	2.44	3.59	2.78	Watch
	2.45	3.60	2.70
	2.50	3.57	2.68	Watch
	2.39	3.45	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.28)	3.55 ↑ (3.09)	2.71 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radomiak Radom
38.6%

Draw
26.6%

Piast Gliwice
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

28.6%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

29.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Radomiak Radom - Piast Gliwice Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Piast will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Piast: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Radomiak (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 24. Zie Ouattara 3. Szczesniak K. 72. Koperski F. 13. Grzesik J. 77. Donis C. 90. Lumungo R. 27. Wolski R. (C) 82. Luquinhas 15. Tapsoba A. 80. Guilherme Luiz	75. Gril D. (G) 99. Twumasi E. 5. Juande 4. Czerwinski J. (C) 36. Lewicki J. 90. Lima I. 27. Labojko J. 17. Boisgard Q. 80. Vallejo H. 11. Sanca L. 19. Ntamack S.
Substitutes
28. Baro R. 8. Camara I. 26. Dieguez A. 11. Goure F. 99. Gradecki B. (G) 23. Karasek K. 47. Kilianek S. 14. Kingue S. 44. Koptas W. (G) 18. Manu 7. Nunnely C.	28. Borowski F. 7. Felix J. 47. Grelich J. (G) 10. Katsantonis A. 91. Kucharski M. 31. Lesniak O. 98. Lokilo J. 18. Maziarz O. 12. Mendes-Dudzinski M. (G) 77. Mucha S. 15. Pitan L.
Coaches
Grzyb R.	Mysliwiec D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Lewicki J. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Vallejo H. ⚽, Sanca L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lewicki J. ↓, Borowski F. ↑,
46', Wolski R. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
46', Czerwinski J. 🟨,
55', Koperski F. 🟨,
59', Tapsoba A. ↓, Nunnely C. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Labojko J. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Labojko J. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
70', Lima I. ↓, Mucha S. ↑,
72', Donis C. ↓, Goure F. ↑,
83', Luquinhas ↓, Karasek K. ↑,
83', Lumungo R. ↓, Manu ↑,
84', Boisgard Q. ↓, Maziarz O. ↑,
89', Ntamack S. ↓, Katsantonis A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2.

Radomiak has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Piast is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Radomiak: Alves R. (Inactive) Balde E. (Inactive) Cichocki M. (Inactive) Dieguez A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Piast: Plach F. (Knee Injury) Sierralta F. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Piast Gliwice: 1.3% Radomiak Radom: 0.48%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Piast Gliwice	9	4	1	4	16:15	1	13
14	Radomiak Radom	9	2	2	5	7:20	-13	8

Last Results with these Odds

Piast Gliwice - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 32.54%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.09.26	Widzew Łódź - Radomiak Radom	0:0 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Radomiak Radom	0:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
29.08.26	Radomiak Radom - Cracovia	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin	0:0 ✺
14.08.26	Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWTL
- Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.09.26	Piast Gliwice - GKS Katowice	3:0 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Piast Gliwice	0:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
29.08.26	Motor Lublin - Piast Gliwice	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Piast Gliwice - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Piast Gliwice - Wieczysta Kraków	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
20.03.26	Piast Gliwice - Radomiak Radom	3:1
20.09.25	Radomiak Radom - Piast Gliwice	1:0
04.05.25	Piast Gliwice - Radomiak Radom	0:0
03.11.24	Radomiak Radom - Piast Gliwice	1:1
08.03.24	Piast Gliwice - Radomiak Radom	2:3
02.09.23	Radomiak Radom - Piast Gliwice	1:1
06.05.23	Radomiak Radom - Piast Gliwice	0:1

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