Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 33

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday


	Radunia Stężyca		Stal Stalowa Wola

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.9	1.57
	5.5	4.33	1.45
	5.9	4.4	1.43
	5.75	4.16	1.45
	5.5	4	1.44
	6.81	4.62	1.39	Watch
	2.9	3.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.27 ↑ (2.5)	4.14 ↑ (3.25)	1.57 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radunia Stężyca
17.8%

Draw
22.6%

Stal Stalowa Wola
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.7%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

29.8%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radunia Stężyca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Radunia Stężyca's form might have worsened.

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stal Stalowa Wola's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radunia Stężyca than the current prediction. (+21%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Radunia Stężyca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-27.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stal Stalowa Wola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Radunia Stężyca - Stal Stalowa Wola Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stal Stalowa Wola will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Stalowa Wola: 71.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tulowiecki K. (C) 3. Dejewski T. 35. Gulczynski G. 7. Kuzimski M. 19. Kwiatkowski J. 5. Lejk K. 8. Luczak W. 14. Reclaw A. 28. Stolc D. 6. Straus J. 23. Zielinski W.	33. Smylek M. (G) 77. Chelmecki K. 4. Furtak L. 78. Gorski J. 87. Kowalski J. (C) 21. Mydlarz M. 55. Oko D. 8. Soszynski L. 15. Strozik S. 24. Urban D. 27. Ziarko A.
Substitutes
9. Biskup M. 93. Boguslawski L. 4. Czajkowski P. 16. Furman J. 33. Kasprzak B. 27. Mrsic M. 11. Mularczyk P. 57. Odyjewski A. (G) 77. Slomka W.	22. Banach J. 3. Bystrek O. 44. Muzyk W. (G) 20. Pioterczak B. 88. Rogala P. 14. Wiktoruk B. 6. Wojtak M. 26. Zaucha P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Gorski J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Urban D. ↓, Zaucha P. ↑,
46', Stolc D. ↓, Kasprzak B. ↑,
46', Reclaw A. ↓, Slomka W. ↑,
46', Gulczynski G. ↓, Mrsic M. ↑,
49', 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Gorski J. ⚽,
62', Furtak L. 🟨,
62', Tulowiecki K. 🟨,
69', Gorski J. ↓, Pioterczak B. ↑,
85', Chelmecki K. ↓, Wojtak M. ↑,
88', Mydlarz M. ↓, Wiktoruk B. ↑,
89', 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Radunia Stężyca is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stal Stalowa Wola is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Radunia Stężyca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radunia Stężyca
Polish Division 2
12.05.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Radunia Stężyca	2:2 ✺
04.05.24	Radunia Stężyca - Wisła Puławy	1:3 ✺
26.04.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Radunia Stężyca	0:3 ✺
21.04.24	Radunia Stężyca - GKS Jastrzębie	3:0 ✺
14.04.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Radunia Stężyca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLWWL
- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 2
10.05.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Skra Częstochowa	3:1 ✺
04.05.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:3 ✺
27.04.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Olimpia Elbląg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
05.11.23	Stal Stalowa Wola - Radunia Stężyca	1:2

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