Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 30

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday


	Pogoń Siedlce		Radunia Stężyca

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.4	3.7
	1.78	3.64	4.13
	1.78	3.64	4.14
	1.75	3.6	3.6
	1.81	3.55	4.07	Watch
	1.89	3.65	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.85)	3.58 ↓ (3.75)	3.9 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Siedlce
50.9%

Draw
25.6%

Radunia Stężyca
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Radunia Stężyca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radunia Stężyca than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Pogoń Siedlce - Radunia Stężyca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burek J. (G) 14. Burka D. 56. Demianiuk C. 31. Dzieciol E. 55. Karwot M. 21. Milasius T. 4. Misiak P. 10. Mis K. 18. Pyrdol P. 16. Sinior J. 7. Szuprytowski D.	1. Tulowiecki K. (C) 93. Boguslawski L. 4. Czajkowski P. 33. Kasprzak B. 44. Kurtovic R. 19. Kwiatkowski J. 8. Luczak W. 27. Mrsic M. 77. Slomka W. 23. Zielinski W. 37. Zwozny H.
Substitutes
8. Bogusiewicz K. 23. Derlatka H. 43. Hrnciar L. 97. Kowynia J. (G) 3. Majewski R. 9. Nowak D. 26. Okusami J. 91. Walczak T.	2. Bashlay D. 3. Dejewski T. 16. Furman J. 32. Gulczynski G. 7. Kuzimski M. 11. Mularczyk P. 57. Odyjewski A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Luczak W. ⚽,
29', Karwot M. 🟨,
42', Zielinski W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Luczak W. ↓, Kuzimski M. ↑,
46', Milasius T. ↓, Walczak T. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Kuzimski M. ⚽,
51', Zwozny H. ↓, Dejewski T. ↑,
58', Sinior J. ↓, Hrnciar L. ↑,
63', Karwot M. ↓, Nowak D. ↑,
67', Boguslawski L. ↓, Bashlay D. ↑,
68', Czajkowski P. 🟨,
69', Mis K. ↓, Bujalski C. ↑,
72', Slomka W. 🟨,
75', 0 - 3, Kuzimski M. ⚽,
88', Zielinski W. ↓, Furman J. ↑,
88', Slomka W. ↓, Gulczynski G. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Pogoń Siedlce is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Radunia Stężyca is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pogoń Siedlce will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Siedlce won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 2
19.04.24	Skra Częstochowa - Pogoń Siedlce	0:1 ✺
12.04.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:0 ✺
05.04.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Pogoń Siedlce	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Lech Poznań 2	2:0 ✺
22.03.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTTWW
- Radunia Stężyca
Polish Division 2
21.04.24	Radunia Stężyca - GKS Jastrzębie	3:0 ✺
14.04.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Radunia Stężyca	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Radunia Stężyca - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Radunia Stężyca - Skra Częstochowa	3:2 ✺
23.03.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Radunia Stężyca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
15.10.23	Radunia Stężyca - Pogoń Siedlce	1:2
27.05.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Radunia Stężyca	0:1
23.10.22	Radunia Stężyca - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1
08.05.22	Radunia Stężyca - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1
30.10.21	Pogoń Siedlce - Radunia Stężyca	4:1

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