Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Ragusa		Gela

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.15	2.28
	2.68	3.14	2.49	Watch
	2.64	3.05	2.46
	2.8	3.1	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.48)	3.11 ↓ (3.35)	2.4 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ragusa
33.2%

Draw
29.1%

Gela
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

26.8%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

26.5%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ragusa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Gela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ragusa than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gela than the current prediction. (-1%)

Ragusa - Gela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+11', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
80', 1 - 2, ⚽,
89', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+15', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 8).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Gela	6	1	2	3	4:6	-2	4
16	USD Ragusa	6	0	2	4	4:9	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ragusa Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.01.26	Enna - Ragusa	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Athletic Palermo - Ragusa	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Ragusa - Acireale	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Sancataldese - Ragusa	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ragusa - ACR Messina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWTT
- SSD Città di Gela
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.01.26	Gela - Savoia	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Gela - Gelbison Cilento	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Vibonese - Gela	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Gela - Castrumfavara	4:1 ✺
30.11.25	Reggina - Gela	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWL

Ragusa - Gela: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide