Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Athletic Palermo		Ragusa

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.2	4.6
	1.78	2.88	5.15
	1.86	3.27	4	Watch
	1.85	3	3.8
	1.79	3.15	4.43
	1.84	2.62	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.26)	3.02 ↓ (3.36)	4.61 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Athletic Palermo
50.3%

Draw
30%

Ragusa
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

27%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

28.3%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Palermo's performance.

Ragusa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ragusa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Palermo than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Palermo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ragusa than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ragusa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Athletic Palermo - Ragusa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ragusa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Micoli N. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Bonfiglio F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).

Athletic Palermo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ragusa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Athletic Palermo is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Palermo
Italian Serie D - Group I
14.12.25	Savoia - Athletic Palermo	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Athletic Palermo - Vibonese	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Castrumfavara - Athletic Palermo	1:2 ✺
26.11.25	Athletic Palermo - Nissa	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Athletic Palermo - Gelbison Cilento	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTWLW
- Ragusa Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
14.12.25	Ragusa - Acireale	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Sancataldese - Ragusa	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ragusa - ACR Messina	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Ragusa	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Ragusa - Savoia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTTTW

Athletic Palermo - Ragusa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide