Match Info

Championship - Round 8

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Stark's Park (Kirkcaldy)

Referee: Nicolson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Livingston TV, Raith TV, SPFL Player


	Raith Rovers		Livingston

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.38
	2.60	3.20	2.35
	2.62	3.2	2.52	Watch
	2.76	3.31	2.61
	2.67	3.34	2.57	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.55
	2.57	3.1	2.46	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.64)	3.23 ↓ (3.35)	2.5 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raith Rovers
34.8%

Draw
28.4%

Livingston
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

27.9%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27.1%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raith Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Livingston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Raith Rovers - Livingston Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Raith will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/E Goals, 1st Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rae J. (G) 2. Rowe J. 6. Baird J. 4. Hanlon P. 3. Delaney Z. 20. Brown S. (C) 7. Lyall A. 11. Robertson J. 25. Montagu K. 18. McMullan P. 9. Oakley G.	28. Prior J. (G) 22. Doherty J. 5. McGowan R. (C) 23. Kabongolo B. 26. Montano C. 20. Danso E. 8. Pittman S. 7. Sinclair T. 16. Palmer C. 19. van Hoeven B. 9. Muirhead R.
Substitutes
5. Fordyce C. 16. Stevenson L. 8. Turner K.	25. Anderson B. 30. Blaney S. 27. Carey G. 6. Denholm A. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 2. Kerr C. 17. May S. 39. Polworth L. 4. Wilkie J.
Coaches
Imrie D.	Martindale D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Brown S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Muirhead R. ⚽, Montano C. (A),
60', 0 - 2, Muirhead R. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Robertson J. ↓, Stevenson L. ↑,
63', Montano C. ↓, Wilkie J. ↑,
63', van Hoeven B. ↓, May S. ↑,
66', Kabongolo B. 🟨,
67', Montagu K. ↓, Turner K. ↑,
72', Baird J. 🟨,
84', Sinclair T. ↓, Anderson B. ↑,
85', May S. 🟨,
90+3', Oakley G. 🟨,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Premiership (Promotion: Semi~finals) and 5th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raith won 1.

Raith is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Livingston has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Raith has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:33 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Raith against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 11:15 goals (averaging 1.4:1.9 per game).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Livingston: 22.81% Raith: 15.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Raith	9	5	2	2	13:6	7	17
4	Livingston	9	4	1	4	13:9	4	13

Last Results with these Odds

Livingston - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.76%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raith Rovers
Scottish Football Championship
19.09.26	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Raith Rovers - Arbroath	4:0 ✺
05.09.26	Inverness - Raith Rovers	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Raith Rovers	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Raith Rovers - Ayr United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWWLW
- Livingston FC
Scottish Football Championship
19.09.26	Livingston - Inverness	2:2 ✺
11.09.26	Greenock Morton - Livingston	1:4 ✺
04.09.26	Livingston - Stenhousemuir	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Arbroath - Livingston	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Livingston - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
05.03.25	Livingston - Raith Rovers	0:0
28.12.24	Raith Rovers - Livingston	2:1
26.10.24	Livingston - Raith Rovers	2:1
31.08.24	Raith Rovers - Livingston	0:1
Scottish Cup
20.01.24	Livingston - Raith Rovers	2:1
Scottish League Cup
21.07.21	Livingston - Raith Rovers	1:0 penalties
Scottish Cup
03.04.21	Livingston - Raith Rovers	2:1 ET

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