Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP III - ROUND 12

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Raków Częstochowa II		Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	2.7
	2	3.83	2.71
	2.16	3.62	2.76	Watch
	2.25	3.55	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.6)	3.65 ↑ (3.5)	2.69 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa II
42.1%

Draw
24.6%

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

26.1%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

25.3%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raków Częstochowa II's performance.

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa II than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raków Częstochowa II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Raków Częstochowa II - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Raków II has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Raków II won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Raków II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa II
Polish Division 3 - Group III
07.10.23	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Raków Częstochowa II	4:2 ✺
30.09.23	Raków Częstochowa II - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Raków Częstochowa II	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Raków Częstochowa II - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Starowice Dolne - Raków Częstochowa II	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- TS Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
Polish Division 3 - Group III
07.10.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Pniówek Pawłowice	3:1 ✺
01.10.23	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:2 ✺
23.09.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Polkowice	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Kluczbork - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	3:1 ✺
13.09.23	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
03.06.23	Raków Częstochowa II - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	4:2
05.11.22	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Raków Częstochowa II	0:0

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