Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP III - ROUND 10

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday


	Raków Częstochowa II		Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.5
	1.92	3.59	3.27
	1.85	3.65	3.48	Watch
	1.86	3.7	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.65)	3.64 ↑ (3.6)	3.39 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa II
48.6%

Draw
24.8%

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

25.3%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

25.2%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raków Częstochowa II's performance.

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa II than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raków Częstochowa II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Raków Częstochowa II - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Raków II has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Raków II will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Raków II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Raków II won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa II
Polish Division 3 - Group III
23.09.23	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Raków Częstochowa II	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Raków Częstochowa II - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Starowice Dolne - Raków Częstochowa II	4:2 ✺
02.09.23	Raków Częstochowa II - Unia Turza Śląska	2:3 ✺
26.08.23	Ślęza Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa II	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
Polish Division 3 - Group III
23.09.23	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:3 ✺
16.09.23	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	5:0 ✺
09.09.23	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Polkowice	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	0:3 ✺
26.08.23	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Górnik 2 Zabrze	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
24.05.23	Raków Częstochowa II - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	0:2
22.10.22	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Raków Częstochowa II	1:2

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