Match Info

Date: 24 February 2022, Thursday


	Randers FC		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	5.5	4	1.6
	5.75	4	1.55
	5.75	4.1	1.59
	5.6	4.3	1.55
	5.94	4.35	1.56
	6.55	4.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.85 ↑ (4.64)	4.17 ↑ (3.7)	1.57 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Randers FC
16.3%

Draw
22.9%

Leicester City
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

24.2%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

20.1%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Randers FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Randers FC than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leicester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Randers FC - Leicester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

2nd leg.

Randers has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Leicester has a very good chance of round of 16 (>99%), has a good chance of qtrs (61%), has a chance of semis (37%), has a chance of final (21%), has a small chance of win league (11%).

This event has quality 50, importance 50, match rating 50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The competitors look crappy now.

Leicester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leicester is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Randers won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Randers FC
Danish Superliga
21.02.22	Randers FC - Viborg	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.02.22	Leicester City - Randers FC	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.02.22	Randers FC - Arsenal Tula	2:3 ✺
06.02.22	Randers FC - Oleksandriya	2:2
25.01.22	Skive IK - Randers FC	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLTW
- Leicester City
English Premier League
20.02.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.02.22	Leicester City - Randers FC	4:1 ✺
English Premier League
13.02.22	Leicester City - West Ham United	2:2 ✺
10.02.22	Liverpool - Leicester City	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
06.02.22	Nottingham Forest - Leicester City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
17.02.22	Leicester City - Randers FC	4:1

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