Match Info

Premier League - Round 34

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wolverhampton Wanderers		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.25
	1.51	4.33	6
	1.52	4.6	6.4
	1.53	4.59	6.34
	1.58	4.13	6.23	Watch
	1.5	4.2	6
	1.54	4.59	6.32	Watch
	1.52	4.6	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.62)	4.42 ↑ (4.08)	6.24 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolverhampton Wanderers
62.9%

Draw
21.7%

Leicester City
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

23.6%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

23.1%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolverhampton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.6%	9.1%	2.3%

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leicester City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Wolverhampton (1.78) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DC - Leicester (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Wolverhampton Wanderers will win (39 of 44 users predict this - 88.64%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.26% – 98.02%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wolverhampton Wanderers will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Leicester (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sa J. (G) 2. Doherty M. 12. Agbadou E. 24. Toti 22. Semedo N. (C) 8. Joao Gomes 7. Andre 3. Ait Nouri R. 5. Munetsi M. 10. Cunha M. 9. Larsen J. S.	30. Hermansen M. (G) 21. Pereira R. 3. Faes W. 4. Coady C. 33. Thomas L. 6. Ndidi W. 24. Soumare B. 40. Buonanotte F. 11. El Khannouss B. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 9. Vardy J. (C)
Substitutes
27. Bellegarde J. 25. Bentley D. (G) 4. Bueno S. 34. Djiga N. 26. Forbs C. 19. Gomes R. 29. Guedes G. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan 21. Sarabia P.	18. Ayew J. 20. Daka P. 2. Justin J. 16. Kristiansen V. 35. McAteer K. 93. Monga J. 5. Okoli C. 22. Skipp O. 41. Stolarczyk J. (G)
Coaches
Pereira V.	van Nistelrooy R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Toti 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Cunha M. ⚽, Ait Nouri R. (A),
45+1', De Cordova-Reid B. ↓, Ayew J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Buonanotte F. ↓, McAteer K. ↑,
46', Pereira R. ↓, Justin J. ↑,
46', Soumare B. ↓, Skipp O. ↑,
48', Faes W. 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Larsen J. S. ⚽, Cunha M. (A),
61', McAteer K. 🟨,
65', Ndidi W. 🟨,
72', Vardy J. (Pen),
77', Ait Nouri R. ↓, Sarabia P. ↑,
77', Larsen J. S. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
81', Skipp O. 🟨,
83', El Khannouss B. ↓, Monga J. ↑,
84', Andre ↓, Bellegarde J. ↑,
84', Doherty M. ↓, Bueno S. ↑,
85', 3 - 0, Gomes R. ⚽, Cunha M. (A),
89', Semedo N. ↓, Guedes G. ↑,
89', Cunha M. ↓, Forbs C. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Leicester is Relegated to Championship

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wolverhampton won 2.

Wolverhampton in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Leicester has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Wolverhampton is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez E. (Knee Injury) Johnstone S. (Injury) Kalajdzic S. (Knee Injury) Mosquera Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Leicester: Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Mavididi S. (Muscle Injury) Souttar H. (Ankle Injury) Winks H. (Coach's decision)

There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Bellegarde J. (Knock) Hwang Hee-Chan (Muscle Injury) Pedro Lima (Ankle Injury) Sa J. (Back Injury)

Our prediction for today's Wolverhampton to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Wolverhampton won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14:18 (average 0.9:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Wolverhampton won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
20.04.25	Manchester United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Tottenham Hotspur	4:2 ✺
05.04.25	Ipswich Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
01.04.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - West Ham United	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Southampton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WWWWW
- Leicester City
English Premier League
20.04.25	Leicester City - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leicester City	2:2 ✺
07.04.25	Leicester City - Newcastle United	0:3 ✺
02.04.25	Manchester City - Leicester City	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Leicester City - Manchester United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
22.12.24	Leicester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:3
22.04.23	Leicester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1
23.10.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leicester City	0:4
20.02.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leicester City	2:1
14.08.21	Leicester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0
07.02.21	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leicester City	0:0
08.11.20	Leicester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0

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